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The Daily Receipt · 2026-10-03 · Validated-asset signal flip

Volatility Index (VIX) flipped long — on a setup that survived validation

Volatility Index (VIX) (Index) flipped long on its best-fit indicator, MA Envelope (Daily), as of 2026-10-02.

The receipts for that pairing: alpha +123.5% vs buy-and-hold, win rate 65.4%, out-of-sample Sharpe 1.49. This is one of the rare setups that survived our full validation gauntlet — out-of-sample AND a multiple-testing hurdle.

Signals print at bar close and our published stats always assume acting the NEXT bar — no lookahead. Full history, equity curve and the loss column are on the asset page.

Evidence breadth · 2026-10-02

45.3% of 869 assets are in LONG regimes (+0.1 vs prior)

Not crowd sentiment — regime states per each asset's proven best-fit rule. By class: Commodity 53.8% · Crypto 48.8% · ETF 46.0% · Forex 32.1% · Index 80.0% · Index ETF 66.7% · Stock 44.0%. Full breadth →

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Freshest flips, by receipt strength

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One evidence-backed story per day, generated straight from our engine — a signal flip, a Forge event, or a verdict worth knowing. Never an opinion, always a receipt. Educational information only — not investment advice. Hypothetical backtested results; past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves risk of loss.

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