The best indicator for EUR/AUD
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real EUR/AUD history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where EUR/AUD stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Parabolic SAR (fast)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for EUR/AUD over ~23.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 7.3% CAGR.
EUR/AUD on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for EUR/AUD — beating buy-and-hold by 6.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parabolic SAR (fast) ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.98 | -27.7% | 34.6% | 433 | 7.3% |
| 2 | Fisher Transform ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.89 | -32.2% | 31.2% | 571 | 6.6% |
| 3 | Parabolic SAR ✓ | Daily | 5.4% | 0.74 | -39.0% | 34.6% | 269 | 5.5% |
| 4 | DMI Direction ✓ | Daily | 5.2% | 0.67 | -25.6% | 27.7% | 274 | 5.2% |
| 5 | DeMarker (7) ✓ | Daily | 4.5% | 0.6 | -40.1% | 28.6% | 416 | 4.5% |
| 6 | Vortex (7) ✓ | Daily | 3.9% | 0.54 | -31.9% | 29.5% | 414 | 4.0% |
| 7 | Woodies CCI ✓ | Daily | 3.5% | 0.53 | -31.5% | 29.2% | 455 | 3.6% |
| 8 | SMC: Fair Value Gap ✓ | Daily | 3.0% | 0.44 | -31.6% | 37.8% | 251 | 3.0% |
| 9 | DeMarker | Daily | 2.2% | 0.41 | -13.9% | 68.6% | 86 | 2.2% |
| 10 | Impulse MACD ✓ | Daily | 2.1% | 0.38 | -23.9% | 29.5% | 285 | 2.1% |
| 11 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Daily | 2.5% | 0.35 | -30.4% | 28.2% | 220 | 2.6% |
| 12 | ADXR ✓ | Daily | 2.2% | 0.34 | -20.3% | 29.0% | 186 | 2.2% |
| 13 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 2.1% | 0.33 | -19.7% | 28.6% | 147 | 2.2% |
| 14 | CCI Trend ✓ | Daily | 2.3% | 0.33 | -29.7% | 28.0% | 289 | 2.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on EUR/AUD
78 of 583 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on EUR/AUD outright. Another 0 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 0 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connors RSI-2 | 2 | none needed | 12.0× |
| Stochastic RSI | 2 | none needed | 11.54× |
| Fisher Transform | 2 | none needed | 15.37× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 5.24× |
| Parabolic SAR (fast) | 2 | none needed | 13.73× |
| SMC: Fair Value Gap | 2 | none needed | 7.48× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For EUR/AUD, Parabolic SAR (fast) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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