The best indicator for Ethereum (ETH)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Ethereum (ETH) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Ethereum (ETH) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Fisher Center-of-Gravity
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Ethereum (ETH) over ~8.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 22.9% CAGR.
Ethereum (ETH) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Ethereum (ETH) — beating buy-and-hold by 25.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fisher Center-of-Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 44.3% | 1.04 | -62.4% | 56.1% | 41 | 22.9% |
| 2 | FRAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 46.1% | 1.04 | -48.4% | 26.9% | 26 | 24.7% |
| 3 | WMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 45.5% | 1.03 | -45.5% | 41.7% | 132 | 31.5% |
| 4 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 49.9% | 1.03 | -56.2% | 54.8% | 31 | 28.6% |
| 5 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 49.9% | 1.03 | -56.2% | 54.8% | 31 | 28.6% |
| 6 | KAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 44.0% | 1.01 | -48.9% | 44.8% | 116 | 30.1% |
| 7 | Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break ✓ | Daily | 22.6% | 1.01 | -21.4% | 53.3% | 75 | 8.6% |
| 8 | SMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 43.6% | 1.0 | -55.3% | 41.9% | 105 | 29.6% |
| 9 | Ehlers Decycler ✓ | Daily | 44.0% | 0.99 | -49.5% | 40.4% | 183 | 30.0% |
| 10 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | Daily | 43.3% | 0.99 | -55.4% | 39.5% | 81 | 29.3% |
| 11 | FRAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 40.0% | 0.99 | -43.2% | 44.5% | 274 | 26.0% |
| 12 | Center of Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 49.6% | 0.99 | -63.5% | 60.4% | 48 | 28.2% |
| 13 | Gann HiLo Activator ✓ | Weekly | 58.0% | 0.99 | -63.2% | 57.1% | 28 | 36.6% |
| 14 | Price Momentum Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 43.5% | 0.99 | -51.4% | 47.9% | 73 | 29.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Ethereum (ETH) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 1152 of 1152 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Ethereum (ETH), Fisher Center-of-Gravity on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More crypto
Get alerted when Ethereum’s signal flips
We track Ethereum daily. Its backtested best indicator, Fisher Center-of-Gravity (Weekly), is flat right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.