Indicators we build — and test in public
8 indicators, every one verified
The standout. Best indicator on 14 assets and a genuine volatility-regime edge on VIX (out-of-sample Sharpe 1.18 over 547 trades). But it loses to buy-and-hold on BTC, SPY and AAPL — the viral "60x" is the asset rising, not alpha.
Adds a 'hidden Markov' confirmation gate so it trades less. Wins on 1 asset (Fortinet). Trading less didn't make it better — a clean negative result worth knowing.
Momentum continuation (buys a z-score breakout). Wins on 0 assets as the #1 fit; avg Sharpe 0.26. The card claimed Sharpe 5.36 — costed and out-of-sample, it doesn't beat buy-and-hold.
Net signed-volume flow oscillator. Avg Sharpe 0.31, but wins 0 assets — no broad edge once costs and an out-of-sample split are applied.
Rides a stacked-EMA trend. Big raw returns on trending names (it's just long the trend) but negative alpha almost everywhere; best fit on 1 asset (Kimco Realty).
Longs only in an uptrend, exits fast. Best on 1 asset (Warner Bros. Discovery); avg Sharpe 0.16. Mostly underperforms buy-and-hold.
Buys confirmed 2x-volume spikes. The weakest of the batch — avg Sharpe 0.09 — though it is the best fit on 3 niche assets (Soybean Oil, Ondo, Incyte).
Fades a 2-sigma stretch when signed-volume flow shows sellers are exhausted. High win-rate reversion that gives it back on big moves; best on 2 assets (Datadog, Uber), avg Sharpe 0.25. The card's +458% was 15m-specific overfit.
Most custom indicators — including most of these — do not beat buy-and-hold once you add costs and an out-of-sample test. That is the single most useful thing we can tell you. Anyone can post a winning backtest; almost no one shows you the ones that quietly lose. Educational information only — not investment advice. Hypothetical backtested results; past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves risk of loss.
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