The best indicator for Dow Jones (DIA)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dow Jones (DIA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
VIDYA 10/30 Cross
On the 1-hour chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dow Jones (DIA) over ~2.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.7% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dow Jones (DIA) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 10.4% | 1.12 | -6.8% | 57.1% | 21 | -4.7% |
| 2 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | 1-Hour | 10.6% | 1.12 | -6.7% | 30.9% | 55 | -4.4% |
| 3 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.61 | -38.5% | 50.0% | 24 | -0.8% |
| 4 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.6 | -17.5% | 54.9% | 122 | -3.3% |
| 5 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | 1-Hour | 8.9% | 1.02 | -7.6% | 38.9% | 54 | -6.1% |
| 6 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.58 | -24.9% | 62.5% | 16 | -2.6% |
| 7 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.58 | -50.9% | 52.5% | 40 | -1.0% |
| 8 | WMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.3% | 0.57 | -26.2% | 46.7% | 15 | -2.8% |
| 9 | Awesome Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.56 | -36.4% | 50.0% | 30 | -3.2% |
| 10 | T3 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 4.7% | 0.55 | -26.7% | 37.5% | 72 | -4.4% |
| 11 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.54 | -39.5% | 60.0% | 20 | -1.6% |
| 12 | VIDYA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.54 | -31.5% | 70.6% | 17 | -2.2% |
| 13 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.54 | -34.1% | 58.3% | 36 | -2.4% |
| 14 | G-Channel ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.54 | -35.4% | 57.1% | 35 | -2.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Dow Jones (DIA), VIDYA 10/30 Cross on the 1-hour timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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