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The only 12 setups that survived honest validation

Paid picks services promise a steady stream of "Strong Buys" — because a subscription has to ship picks every month whether the evidence is there or not. We ran the opposite process: 644,149 backtests across 871 assets, out-of-sample validation, and a multiple-testing hurdle so lucky backtests get thrown out. Exactly 12 setups survived. Here they all are. Free.

871
assets put through the engine
12
setups that survived validation
680
assets where nothing beat buy & hold — we say so
The picks

Every validated setup, with receipts

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Crypto
Pivot Points (Standard) · Daily · market-structure rule
OOS Sharpe 2.83 · alpha +388.9% · win 28.8% · max DD -17.5% — full receipts & forward tracking →
NZD/JPY Forex
Fisher Transform · Daily · oscillator rule
OOS Sharpe 2.23 · alpha +13.7% · win 34.3% · max DD -4.7% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Zcash (ZEC) Crypto
Cascade Z-Score · Daily · breakout rule
OOS Sharpe 1.92 · alpha +55.8% · win 45.8% · max DD -45.0% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Volatility Index (VIX) Index
MA Envelope · Daily · channel / envelope rule
OOS Sharpe 1.49 · alpha +134.8% · win 65.6% · max DD -51.9% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Stock
Hull Suite · Daily · trend-following rule
OOS Sharpe 1.35 · alpha +8.7% · win 50.0% · max DD -44.3% — full receipts & forward tracking →
USD/CNY Forex
DMI Direction · Daily · trend-following rule
OOS Sharpe 1.34 · alpha +4.6% · win 29.3% · max DD -3.4% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Garmin (GRMN) Stock
Lorentzian Classification · Weekly · oscillator rule
OOS Sharpe 1.33 · alpha +8.1% · win 57.7% · max DD -18.9% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Ameren (AEE) Stock
Detrended Price Osc. · Weekly · oscillator rule
OOS Sharpe 1.32 · alpha +8.1% · win 69.5% · max DD -13.4% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Micron Technology (MU) Stock
SMC: Order Block · Weekly · market-structure rule
OOS Sharpe 1.17 · alpha +9.2% · win 54.5% · max DD -46.6% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Western Digital (WDC) Stock
DEMA 30 Trend · Weekly · trend-following rule
OOS Sharpe 1.0 · alpha +6.6% · win 43.2% · max DD -39.5% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Eversource Energy (ES) Stock
Detrended Price Osc. · Weekly · oscillator rule
OOS Sharpe 0.93 · alpha +4.1% · win 63.2% · max DD -25.7% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) Stock
QQE · Weekly · channel / envelope rule
OOS Sharpe 0.91 · alpha +3.9% · win 50.0% · max DD -32.0% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Why so few?

"Validated" here means the strategy beat buy-and-hold both full-sample and out-of-sample AND cleared a Sharpe hurdle corrected for how many things we tried — the correction that marketing backtests never apply. Most edges die under that test; that's the point. Every pick above is forward-tracked publicly from the day it was published, wins and losses alike. When a pick stops working, its page will say so. Educational information only — not investment advice. Hypothetical backtested results; past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves risk of loss.

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