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The only 10 setups that survived honest validation

Paid picks services promise a steady stream of "Strong Buys" — because a subscription has to ship picks every month whether the evidence is there or not. We ran the opposite process: 660,005 backtests across 903 assets, out-of-sample validation, and a multiple-testing hurdle so lucky backtests get thrown out. Exactly 10 setups survived. Here they all are. Free.

903
assets put through the engine
10
setups that survived validation
703
assets where nothing beat buy & hold — we say so
The picks

Every validated setup, with receipts

Rain (RAIN) Crypto
MA Envelope · Daily — Percent envelope around an EMA — buy the dip below the lower band, exit back at the mean.
OOS Sharpe 2.76 · alpha +44332.0% · win 51.2% · max DD -93.0% — full receipts & forward tracking →
GBP/JPY Forex
Fisher Transform · Daily — Long while the Fisher Transform turns up above its trigger.
OOS Sharpe 2.5 · alpha +10.3% · win 35.4% · max DD -3.0% — full receipts & forward tracking →
NZD/JPY Forex
Fisher Transform · Daily — Long while the Fisher Transform turns up above its trigger.
OOS Sharpe 2.27 · alpha +12.8% · win 34.3% · max DD -4.7% — full receipts & forward tracking →
USD/CNY Forex
DMI Direction · Daily — Long whenever +DI is above -DI — pure directional movement, no strength filter.
OOS Sharpe 1.47 · alpha +4.6% · win 31.0% · max DD -3.1% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Nasdaq Futures (NQ) Commodity
Net Volume · Daily — Signed volume summed over a window — long while net buying.
OOS Sharpe 1.45 · alpha +3.3% · win 55.7% · max DD -15.5% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Volatility Index (VIX) Index
MA Envelope · Daily — Percent envelope around an EMA — buy the dip below the lower band, exit back at the mean.
OOS Sharpe 1.45 · alpha +120.8% · win 66.1% · max DD -51.9% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Stock
KAMA 10/30 Cross · Daily — MA variant — Kaufman adaptive-MA cross; long while fast leads slow.
OOS Sharpe 1.41 · alpha +7.5% · win 63.0% · max DD -36.1% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Ameren (AEE) Stock
Detrended Price Osc. · Weekly — Long while the Detrended Price Oscillator (20) is positive.
OOS Sharpe 1.28 · alpha +8.5% · win 74.5% · max DD -13.4% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Micron Technology (MU) Stock
SMC: Order Block · Weekly — Marks the last down-candle before a bullish break of structure; long while price holds above that order block.
OOS Sharpe 1.21 · alpha +9.4% · win 54.5% · max DD -46.6% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Eversource Energy (ES) Stock
Detrended Price Osc. · Weekly — Long while the Detrended Price Oscillator (20) is positive.
OOS Sharpe 1.0 · alpha +3.7% · win 63.8% · max DD -25.7% — full receipts & forward tracking →
Why so few?

"Validated" here means the strategy beat buy-and-hold both full-sample and out-of-sample AND cleared a Sharpe hurdle corrected for how many things we tried — the correction that marketing backtests never apply. Most edges die under that test; that's the point. Every pick above is forward-tracked publicly from the day it was published, wins and losses alike. When a pick stops working, its page will say so. Educational information only — not investment advice. Hypothetical backtested results; past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves risk of loss.

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