The best indicator for Worldcoin (WLD)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Worldcoin (WLD) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Historical Volatility Regime
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Worldcoin (WLD) over ~6.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 56.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Worldcoin (WLD) — trailing buy-and-hold by 43.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Historical Volatility Regime ✓ | Daily | 33.2% | 0.83 | -33.0% | 50.0% | 32 | -56.8% |
| 2 | Ulcer Index ✓ | Daily | 35.7% | 0.79 | -57.1% | 50.0% | 28 | -54.2% |
| 3 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Daily | 38.7% | 0.78 | -66.0% | 42.3% | 52 | -51.3% |
| 4 | VuManChu Cipher B ✓ | Daily | 27.9% | 0.71 | -45.9% | 53.5% | 43 | -62.0% |
| 5 | On-Balance Volume ✓ | Daily | 27.3% | 0.67 | -85.1% | 38.4% | 86 | -62.6% |
| 6 | Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) ✓ | Daily | 27.4% | 0.67 | -57.5% | 34.3% | 70 | -62.6% |
| 7 | Fractal Adaptive MA | Weekly | 48.6% | 0.76 | -74.9% | 26.1% | 23 | -99.2% |
| 8 | Percentage Price Osc. ✓ | Daily | 23.6% | 0.64 | -87.5% | 39.6% | 48 | -66.3% |
| 9 | PPO Cross ✓ | Daily | 23.6% | 0.64 | -87.5% | 39.6% | 48 | -66.3% |
| 10 | Stochastic (10,3) ✓ | Daily | 21.6% | 0.64 | -70.5% | 38.4% | 185 | -68.4% |
| 11 | Relative Vigor Index ✓ | Weekly | 32.3% | 0.71 | -56.1% | 46.7% | 15 | -115.5% |
| 12 | Coral Trend ✓ | Daily | 17.7% | 0.61 | -75.4% | 42.9% | 28 | -72.2% |
| 13 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Daily | 19.1% | 0.59 | -44.4% | 40.0% | 35 | -70.8% |
| 14 | Ehlers Relative Vigor ✓ | Weekly | 28.1% | 0.67 | -66.6% | 44.4% | 18 | -119.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Worldcoin (WLD), Historical Volatility Regime on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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