The best indicator for Arbitrum (ARB)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Arbitrum (ARB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Projection Bands
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Arbitrum (ARB) over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 112.3% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Arbitrum (ARB) — beating buy-and-hold by 7.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pivot Points (Standard) | Daily | 76.4% | 1.05 | -97.9% | 56.6% | 341 | 92.2% |
| 2 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 96.5% | 0.95 | -96.0% | 65.7% | 99 | 112.3% |
| 3 | Connors RSI ✓ | Daily | 68.8% | 0.93 | -97.0% | 59.5% | 111 | 84.6% |
| 4 | Fibonacci Pivots | Daily | 51.7% | 0.92 | -99.6% | 56.0% | 364 | 67.5% |
| 5 | Connors RSI-2 | Daily | 65.6% | 0.91 | -97.2% | 64.1% | 117 | 81.4% |
| 6 | Keltner Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 116.3% | 0.89 | -66.8% | 78.9% | 38 | 132.1% |
| 7 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion | Daily | 59.5% | 0.74 | -71.0% | 71.4% | 42 | 75.2% |
| 8 | Fibonacci Bands | Daily | 59.5% | 0.74 | -71.0% | 71.4% | 42 | 75.2% |
| 9 | Demand Index ✓ | Daily | 60.1% | 0.71 | -68.4% | 76.7% | 30 | 75.9% |
| 10 | Pivot Points (Standard) | Weekly | 91.1% | 0.7 | -76.4% | 50.0% | 58 | 108.9% |
| 11 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 74.9% | 0.69 | -91.7% | 54.1% | 74 | 92.7% |
| 12 | Order-Flow Reversion | Daily | 25.3% | 0.69 | -46.6% | 77.3% | 22 | 41.0% |
| 13 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Daily | -20.9% | 0.68 | -100.0% | 44.7% | 255 | -5.1% |
| 14 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 46.4% | 0.63 | -86.7% | 86.7% | 15 | 62.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Arbitrum (ARB), Projection Bands on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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