The best indicator for Aave (AAVE)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Aave (AAVE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
WMA 20/50 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Aave (AAVE) over ~8.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 48.3% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Aave (AAVE) — trailing buy-and-hold by 60.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chande Forecast Osc. | Daily | 36.6% | 0.81 | -70.2% | 42.4% | 217 | -42.6% |
| 2 | Donchian Midline | Daily | 34.2% | 0.77 | -57.3% | 40.6% | 101 | -45.0% |
| 3 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep | Daily | 33.8% | 0.77 | -77.0% | 62.5% | 32 | -45.4% |
| 4 | Chaikin Money Flow | Daily | 32.8% | 0.75 | -68.1% | 44.3% | 106 | -46.4% |
| 5 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 30.9% | 0.74 | -61.8% | 50.0% | 22 | -48.3% |
| 6 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Daily | 30.5% | 0.74 | -65.4% | 54.0% | 163 | -48.7% |
| 7 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Daily | 30.5% | 0.74 | -65.4% | 54.0% | 163 | -48.7% |
| 8 | Bullish Harami ✓ | Weekly | 31.4% | 0.72 | -43.6% | 47.6% | 21 | 28.3% |
| 9 | Perfect Trend Line | Daily | 28.9% | 0.71 | -73.4% | 46.0% | 237 | -50.3% |
| 10 | Williams %R (21) | Daily | 26.9% | 0.68 | -60.3% | 39.6% | 101 | -52.3% |
| 11 | Detrended Price Osc. | Daily | 25.0% | 0.67 | -80.9% | 49.1% | 218 | -54.2% |
| 12 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 25.2% | 0.66 | -75.9% | 44.4% | 27 | -54.0% |
| 13 | Volume Oscillator | Daily | 23.5% | 0.65 | -68.3% | 42.3% | 78 | -55.7% |
| 14 | Ehlers Reflex | Daily | 23.5% | 0.64 | -67.9% | 38.6% | 70 | -55.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Aave (AAVE), WMA 20/50 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More crypto
Get alerted when Aave’s signal flips
We track Aave daily. Its backtested best indicator, WMA 20/50 Cross (Daily), is long right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.