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The best indicator for Avalanche (AVAX)

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Avalanche (AVAX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.

Signaling SHORT right now — its only tested short edge (Woodie Pivots) is signaling short — a rare case where shorting this beat staying flat (+36.7% CAGR). Signal computed on 2026-10-23, 3 days behind the price data on this page (it is rebuilt on a separate schedule).
Live screener
Key levels · as of 2026-10-26

Where Avalanche (AVAX) stands

8.8400
last daily close (2026-10-26)
8.1785
200-day simple moving average price 8.1% above
9.6754
50-day simple moving average price 8.6% below
5.9057–11.62
52-week range

Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.

Momentum · Daily

Squeeze Momentum

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Avalanche (AVAX) over ~8.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 61.8% CAGR.

71.3%
CAGR
1.18
Sharpe
-36.7%
Max DD
44.2%
Win rate
3.26
Profit factor
+61.8%
vs Buy&Hold
Chart

Avalanche (AVAX) on the daily chart

The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.

Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.

MIXED
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

Supertrend (10,3)Waddah Attar Explosion

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Avalanche (AVAX) — beating buy-and-hold by 51.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

55.5%
CAGR
1.09
Sharpe
48.6%
Win rate
70
Trades
+51.7%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Squeeze Momentum
+61.8% · Sharpe 1.18
Weekly
Fractal Adaptive MA
+70.0% · Sharpe 0.99
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1QQE MODDaily75.0%1.19-53.6%39.3%8465.4%
2Squeeze Momentum ✓Daily71.3%1.18-36.7%44.2%9561.8%
3MomentumDaily79.3%1.15-69.7%43.1%14469.7%
4Impulse MACD ✓Daily67.3%1.15-46.2%45.3%7557.8%
5ROC (10)Daily79.3%1.15-69.7%43.1%14469.7%
6Momentum (10)Daily79.3%1.15-69.7%43.1%14469.7%
7Woodie PivotsWeekly127.7%1.15-58.2%47.5%59114.0%
8Acceleration Bands ✓Daily64.1%1.14-54.3%37.1%6254.5%
9Center of GravityWeekly113.7%1.11-76.8%45.2%31100.0%
10ALMA 10/30 CrossDaily72.5%1.1-66.8%38.2%8962.9%
11Relative Volume SpikeDaily59.6%1.08-63.0%46.9%3250.1%
12Chande Momentum Osc.Daily68.9%1.07-82.3%38.1%15559.3%
13Keltner Breakout ✓Daily58.8%1.06-54.7%33.3%2449.2%
14Supertrend Fast (10,2)Daily65.5%1.04-73.3%32.6%4655.9%

✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What leverage would it take to beat buy & hold?

The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Avalanche (AVAX) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 327 of 327 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that

What this means

For Avalanche (AVAX), Squeeze Momentum on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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