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The best indicator for Avalanche (AVAX)

We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Avalanche (AVAX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling SHORT right now — its only tested short edge (Woodie Pivots) is signaling short — a rare case where shorting this beat staying flat (+36.7% CAGR). As of 2026-06-12.
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Momentum · Daily

QQE MOD

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Avalanche (AVAX) over ~8.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 76.5% CAGR.

80.3%
CAGR
1.23
Sharpe
-45.9%
Max DD
40.3%
Win rate
3.55
Profit factor
+76.5%
vs Buy&Hold
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

Supertrend (10,3)Waddah Attar Explosion

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Avalanche (AVAX) — beating buy-and-hold by 51.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

55.5%
CAGR
1.09
Sharpe
48.6%
Win rate
70
Trades
+51.7%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
QQE MOD
+76.5% · Sharpe 1.23
Weekly
Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break
+64.6% · Sharpe 0.89
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1QQE MOD Daily80.3%1.23-45.9%40.3%7776.5%
2Woodie PivotsWeekly148.5%1.22-49.9%48.1%54143.3%
3Squeeze Momentum Daily71.7%1.18-36.7%44.4%9067.9%
4MomentumDaily82.1%1.17-65.0%42.0%13178.2%
5ROC (10)Daily82.1%1.17-65.0%42.0%13178.2%
6Momentum (10)Daily82.1%1.17-65.0%42.0%13178.2%
7Impulse MACD Daily65.8%1.13-46.2%45.1%7161.9%
8Relative Volume Spike Daily64.3%1.12-63.0%50.0%3060.4%
9Acceleration Bands Daily62.8%1.11-54.3%37.3%5959.0%
10ALMA 10/30 CrossDaily73.0%1.1-63.5%39.0%8269.1%
11Chande Momentum Osc.Daily72.3%1.09-78.3%38.3%14168.4%
12Accumulation Swing IndexWeekly112.2%1.09-68.9%45.8%59107.0%
13Swing IndexWeekly112.2%1.09-68.9%45.8%59107.0%
14Center of GravityWeekly107.6%1.08-76.3%41.4%29102.4%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Avalanche (AVAX), QQE MOD on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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