The best indicator for Algorand (ALGO)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Algorand (ALGO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
LSMA 30 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Algorand (ALGO) over ~7.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 73.9% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Algorand (ALGO) — beating buy-and-hold by 64.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LSMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 38.9% | 0.76 | -68.2% | 31.2% | 16 | 73.9% |
| 2 | Hull MA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 33.4% | 0.7 | -70.8% | 50.0% | 16 | 68.4% |
| 3 | Triangular Hull MA ✓ | Weekly | 38.3% | 0.74 | -64.0% | 35.7% | 14 | 73.3% |
| 4 | Center of Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 31.1% | 0.69 | -87.5% | 53.7% | 41 | 66.2% |
| 5 | ZLEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 32.7% | 0.69 | -66.0% | 31.2% | 16 | 67.7% |
| 6 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 26.2% | 0.68 | -59.5% | 45.2% | 31 | 55.8% |
| 7 | Fisher Center-of-Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 27.0% | 0.68 | -55.0% | 43.2% | 37 | 62.0% |
| 8 | B-Xtrender ✓ | Weekly | 30.2% | 0.67 | -75.7% | 40.7% | 27 | 65.2% |
| 9 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 25.4% | 0.66 | -89.5% | 50.0% | 34 | 55.0% |
| 10 | Standard Error Bands ✓ | Daily | 18.0% | 0.66 | -47.9% | 44.8% | 29 | 47.6% |
| 11 | LSMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 24.9% | 0.66 | -76.5% | 36.4% | 44 | 54.4% |
| 12 | Pascal's Weighted MA ✓ | Daily | 24.2% | 0.65 | -77.2% | 38.7% | 124 | 53.7% |
| 13 | Donchian 20 Break ✓ | Daily | 25.0% | 0.65 | -78.5% | 42.9% | 21 | 54.6% |
| 14 | Hull MA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 31.6% | 0.69 | -85.4% | 42.9% | 14 | 66.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Algorand (ALGO), LSMA 30 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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