The best indicator for Info Tech (VGT)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Info Tech (VGT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Trend Regularity Adaptive MA
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Info Tech (VGT) over ~22.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.7% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Info Tech (VGT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trend Regularity Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 13.2% | 0.87 | -21.7% | 58.3% | 36 | -1.7% |
| 2 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Weekly | 12.8% | 0.87 | -25.0% | 63.6% | 33 | -2.0% |
| 3 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.86 | -21.5% | 72.7% | 22 | -2.9% |
| 4 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 15.2% | 0.86 | -34.1% | 66.7% | 15 | 0.3% |
| 5 | Net Volume ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.83 | -32.2% | 54.0% | 226 | -3.2% |
| 6 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 12.8% | 0.83 | -29.6% | 50.0% | 40 | -2.1% |
| 7 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 15.5% | 0.83 | -50.2% | 56.9% | 65 | 0.6% |
| 8 | Liquidity Flow Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.83 | -32.2% | 54.0% | 226 | -3.2% |
| 9 | EMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.2% | 0.82 | -29.1% | 53.3% | 30 | -2.8% |
| 10 | Smoothed MA (Wilder) ✓ | Weekly | 12.2% | 0.82 | -26.4% | 54.1% | 37 | -2.7% |
| 11 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Weekly | 12.2% | 0.82 | -29.7% | 52.5% | 40 | -2.7% |
| 12 | TSI (13,7) ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.82 | -24.2% | 59.3% | 27 | -3.1% |
| 13 | Disparity (20) ✓ | Weekly | 11.6% | 0.82 | -30.1% | 53.3% | 60 | -3.2% |
| 14 | WMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.82 | -21.9% | 56.4% | 55 | -3.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Info Tech (VGT), Trend Regularity Adaptive MA on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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