The best indicator for Info Tech (VGT)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Info Tech (VGT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Info Tech (VGT) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Trend Regularity Adaptive MA
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Info Tech (VGT) over ~22.8 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.6% CAGR.
Info Tech (VGT) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Info Tech (VGT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trend Regularity Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 13.5% | 0.89 | -21.8% | 58.3% | 36 | -1.6% |
| 2 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Weekly | 13.1% | 0.88 | -25.0% | 63.6% | 33 | -2.0% |
| 3 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.3% | 0.87 | -21.5% | 73.9% | 23 | -2.8% |
| 4 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 15.4% | 0.86 | -34.1% | 66.7% | 15 | 0.3% |
| 5 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 13.0% | 0.84 | -29.6% | 50.0% | 40 | -2.1% |
| 6 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 15.8% | 0.84 | -50.2% | 60.0% | 65 | 0.7% |
| 7 | TSI (13,7) ✓ | Weekly | 12.2% | 0.84 | -24.0% | 61.5% | 26 | -2.9% |
| 8 | Smoothed MA (Wilder) ✓ | Weekly | 12.3% | 0.83 | -26.8% | 55.3% | 38 | -2.8% |
| 9 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.83 | -29.7% | 55.0% | 40 | -2.7% |
| 10 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.83 | -26.0% | 50.0% | 26 | -2.7% |
| 11 | ALMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.83 | -23.3% | 61.5% | 26 | -3.3% |
| 12 | Net Volume ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.82 | -32.2% | 53.7% | 231 | -3.7% |
| 13 | EMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.4% | 0.82 | -29.1% | 53.3% | 30 | -2.8% |
| 14 | Liquidity Flow Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.82 | -32.2% | 53.7% | 231 | -3.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Info Tech (VGT)
1 of 604 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Info Tech (VGT) outright. Another 445 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 126 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | 1 | 1.23× | 3.02× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 1.7× | 3.93× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.3× | 4.18× |
| DMI Direction | — | 1.33× | 3.61× |
| Trend Regularity Adaptive MA | — | 1.33× | 5.04× |
| Disparity (50) | — | 1.37× | 3.74× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Info Tech (VGT), Trend Regularity Adaptive MA on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More etf
Get alerted when Info Tech’s signal flips
We track Info Tech daily. Its backtested best indicator, Trend Regularity Adaptive MA (Weekly), is long right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.