The best indicator for 1.5x VIX (UVXY)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real 1.5x VIX (UVXY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
VuManChu Cipher B
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for 1.5x VIX (UVXY) over ~14.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 80.0% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for 1.5x VIX (UVXY) — beating buy-and-hold by 81.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tweezer Bottom | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.31 | -59.6% | 30.0% | 10 | 86.1% |
| 2 | Lorentzian Classification | Weekly | 2.0% | 0.19 | -42.0% | 23.5% | 17 | 81.6% |
| 3 | VuManChu Cipher B ✓ | Daily | 0.1% | 0.15 | -63.5% | 40.0% | 35 | 80.0% |
| 4 | Bullish Harami | Daily | -3.8% | 0.1 | -89.1% | 39.3% | 89 | 76.2% |
| 5 | Order-Flow Reversion | Daily | 0.3% | 0.12 | -46.1% | 66.7% | 12 | 80.2% |
| 6 | Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break | Daily | -4.4% | 0.08 | -84.6% | 26.7% | 30 | 75.6% |
| 7 | Keltner 10 (x1.5) | Weekly | -0.1% | 0.13 | -58.7% | 25.0% | 8 | 79.5% |
| 8 | Williams %R (28) | Weekly | -3.7% | 0.0 | -56.6% | 27.3% | 11 | 75.8% |
| 9 | EMA 200 Trend | Daily | -5.9% | -0.03 | -89.4% | 30.0% | 10 | 74.0% |
| 10 | Trend Magic | Weekly | -7.3% | -0.08 | -82.5% | 10.0% | 10 | 72.2% |
| 11 | Holy Grail Confluence | Daily | -9.2% | -0.06 | -83.3% | 33.3% | 15 | 70.8% |
| 12 | Donchian 55/20 | Daily | -17.4% | -0.11 | -94.1% | 20.0% | 10 | 62.6% |
| 13 | KAMA 100 Trend | Weekly | -9.7% | -0.12 | -82.0% | 10.0% | 10 | 69.9% |
| 14 | Keltner 20 Break | Daily | -15.2% | -0.08 | -92.1% | 31.3% | 67 | 64.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For 1.5x VIX (UVXY), VuManChu Cipher B on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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