The best indicator for 1.5x VIX (UVXY)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real 1.5x VIX (UVXY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where 1.5x VIX (UVXY) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
VuManChu Cipher B
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for 1.5x VIX (UVXY) over ~15.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 79.1% CAGR.
1.5x VIX (UVXY) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for 1.5x VIX (UVXY) — beating buy-and-hold by 81.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tweezer Bottom | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.31 | -59.6% | 30.0% | 10 | 86.0% |
| 2 | Bollinger 50 (x2.5) Break | Daily | 0.2% | 0.19 | -66.5% | 38.2% | 34 | 80.3% |
| 3 | Lorentzian Classification | Weekly | 1.9% | 0.19 | -42.0% | 23.5% | 17 | 81.6% |
| 4 | VuManChu Cipher B ✓ | Daily | -1.0% | 0.12 | -63.5% | 40.5% | 37 | 79.1% |
| 5 | Bullish Harami | Daily | -3.5% | 0.11 | -89.1% | 39.1% | 92 | 76.6% |
| 6 | Order-Flow Reversion | Daily | 0.3% | 0.12 | -46.1% | 66.7% | 12 | 80.4% |
| 7 | Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break | Daily | -4.3% | 0.08 | -84.6% | 26.7% | 30 | 75.8% |
| 8 | Keltner 10 (x1.5) | Weekly | -0.1% | 0.13 | -58.7% | 25.0% | 8 | 79.6% |
| 9 | Williams %R (28) | Weekly | -3.7% | 0.0 | -56.6% | 27.3% | 11 | 76.0% |
| 10 | EMA 200 Trend | Daily | -5.8% | -0.03 | -89.4% | 30.0% | 10 | 74.3% |
| 11 | Trend Magic | Weekly | -7.2% | -0.07 | -82.5% | 10.0% | 10 | 72.5% |
| 12 | Holy Grail Confluence | Daily | -9.0% | -0.06 | -83.3% | 33.3% | 15 | 71.1% |
| 13 | Donchian 55/20 | Daily | -17.1% | -0.11 | -94.1% | 20.0% | 10 | 63.0% |
| 14 | KAMA 100 Trend | Weekly | -9.5% | -0.12 | -82.0% | 10.0% | 10 | 70.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on 1.5x VIX (UVXY) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 485 of 485 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For 1.5x VIX (UVXY), VuManChu Cipher B on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More etf
Get alerted when 1.5x VIX’s signal flips
We track 1.5x VIX daily. Its backtested best indicator, VuManChu Cipher B (Daily), is flat right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.