The best indicator for 3x 20Y Bull
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real 3x 20Y Bull history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where 3x 20Y Bull stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
LSMA 100 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for 3x 20Y Bull over ~17.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 13.2% CAGR.
3x 20Y Bull on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zero-Lag EMA Cross | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.41 | -55.3% | 52.6% | 38 | 15.3% |
| 2 | ZLEMA 10/30 Cross | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.41 | -55.3% | 52.6% | 38 | 15.3% |
| 3 | SMC: Fair Value Gap | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.41 | -49.9% | 44.7% | 38 | 15.2% |
| 4 | Trendlines with Breaks | Daily | 7.7% | 0.39 | -63.5% | 43.8% | 32 | 15.0% |
| 5 | Bandpass Oscillator | Weekly | 7.6% | 0.39 | -53.9% | 52.5% | 40 | 14.7% |
| 6 | Bullish Marubozu | Weekly | 4.8% | 0.39 | -26.0% | 88.0% | 25 | 11.9% |
| 7 | WMA 20/80 Cross | Daily | 7.2% | 0.38 | -63.4% | 36.8% | 38 | 14.5% |
| 8 | TEMA 10/30 Cross | Weekly | 6.8% | 0.37 | -53.0% | 51.7% | 29 | 13.8% |
| 9 | Vortex (7) | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.37 | -68.0% | 49.2% | 63 | 13.8% |
| 10 | LSMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.35 | -45.5% | 54.2% | 24 | 13.2% |
| 11 | Percentage Price Osc. | Weekly | 5.6% | 0.33 | -69.7% | 43.3% | 30 | 12.7% |
| 12 | PPO Cross | Weekly | 5.6% | 0.33 | -69.7% | 43.3% | 30 | 12.7% |
| 13 | T3 20/80 Cross | Daily | 5.3% | 0.32 | -79.4% | 42.9% | 21 | 12.6% |
| 14 | ALMA 10/30 Cross | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.32 | -58.3% | 38.2% | 34 | 12.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on 3x 20Y Bull lost money across the out-of-sample window in 561 of 561 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For 3x 20Y Bull, LSMA 100 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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