The best indicator for 3x 20Y Bull
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real 3x 20Y Bull history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where 3x 20Y Bull stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Zero-Lag EMA Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for 3x 20Y Bull over ~17.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 14.7% CAGR.
3x 20Y Bull on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zero-Lag EMA Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.45 | -49.3% | 54.1% | 37 | 14.7% |
| 2 | ZLEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.45 | -49.3% | 54.1% | 37 | 14.7% |
| 3 | Bandpass Oscillator | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.43 | -50.5% | 52.5% | 40 | 14.0% |
| 4 | SMC: Fair Value Gap | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.43 | -44.9% | 48.7% | 39 | 14.1% |
| 5 | WMA 20/80 Cross | Daily | 8.0% | 0.4 | -61.1% | 39.5% | 38 | 13.6% |
| 6 | Trendlines with Breaks | Daily | 7.8% | 0.4 | -63.5% | 43.8% | 32 | 13.4% |
| 7 | TEMA 10/30 Cross | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.39 | -53.0% | 51.7% | 29 | 12.8% |
| 8 | Bullish Marubozu | Weekly | 4.8% | 0.39 | -27.0% | 88.0% | 25 | 10.1% |
| 9 | LSMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.39 | -39.3% | 59.1% | 22 | 12.4% |
| 10 | Vortex (7) | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.37 | -65.0% | 50.8% | 65 | 12.2% |
| 11 | Morning Star | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.36 | -36.4% | 52.6% | 38 | 10.5% |
| 12 | Percentage Price Osc. | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.35 | -68.1% | 46.7% | 30 | 11.4% |
| 13 | PPO Cross | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.35 | -68.1% | 46.7% | 30 | 11.4% |
| 14 | Hull MA 10/40 Cross | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.35 | -52.8% | 50.0% | 36 | 11.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on 3x 20Y Bull lost money across the out-of-sample window in 561 of 561 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For 3x 20Y Bull, Zero-Lag EMA Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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