Trend indicator

Trend Regularity Adaptive MA: what it's actually best at

Trend Regularity Adaptive MA is a trend-following rule — it holds while a smoothed trend reference is pointing up and goes flat when it turns. We publish where it holds up and where it fails, with the out-of-sample numbers; the exact settings we tested stay in the engine.

Tested and published by IndicatorEdge · backtest grid generated 2026-06-25 · base rates recomputed 2026-07-31 · how we test

3 of 883

assets where it was the #1 edge

on the other 880, a different indicator did better

0.29

average Sharpe across all tests

median across all 382 indicators is 0.25 — this one ranks above 245 of them

Trend

indicator family

Base rate

How often Trend Regularity Adaptive MA beat buy-and-hold

286 of 1,678 out-of-sample tests beat simply buying and holding the same asset — 17.0%. On the other 1,392 it did not. That is below the 20.1% rate across all 382 indicators we test (one pooled rate over all 660,005 tests we have run, not a mean of the per-indicator rates).

Each test is one asset on one timeframe: 1,678 of them, drawn from 883 assets across up to 4 timeframes. Not every asset has usable history on every timeframe, so that total is the grid we could actually run — it is not 883 × 4, and we do not pad it with tests we did not do. "Beat" means a higher return than holding that same asset over that same window. Measured out-of-sample — on data the setup was not chosen on.

Picking the single best timeframe for each asset after the fact raises it to 25.0% (221/883 assets). That number is the one worth distrusting: choosing the timeframe once you already know the answer is how backtests flatter themselves. Every indicator, ranked by this number

What's on this page — and what isn't

We publish the verdict: the indicator's name, the assets and timeframes it holds up on, and the honest numbers for both its wins and its failures. We do not publish the recipe — the settings, lengths and thresholds we tested. That is the part worth paying for, and republishing it would just add one more free indicator to a market that already has thousands. Everything you need to judge whether Trend Regularity Adaptive MA is worth your attention is below; everything you'd need to clone it is not.

Best fits

Assets where Trend Regularity Adaptive MA won

Consumer Disc. (XLY) -1.1%-28% drawdown · 29 trades · 27.6y Info Tech (VGT) -1.7%-22% drawdown · 36 trades · 22.4y Bilibili +21.8%-49% drawdown · 40 trades · 8.2y

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Trend Regularity Adaptive MA: what it's actually best at

How often Trend Regularity Adaptive MA beat buy-and-hold

Assets where Trend Regularity Adaptive MA won

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