The best indicator for Lido
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Lido history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Connors RSI
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Lido over ~7.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 71.7% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Relative Volume Spike | Daily | 52.8% | 0.92 | -48.0% | 53.1% | 32 | 74.8% |
| 2 | Connors RSI ✓ | Daily | 49.7% | 0.91 | -65.8% | 59.8% | 112 | 71.7% |
| 3 | Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break ✓ | Daily | 46.1% | 0.89 | -67.8% | 35.0% | 120 | 68.2% |
| 4 | Fisher Center-of-Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 69.4% | 0.87 | -51.0% | 55.6% | 27 | 92.0% |
| 5 | Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 49.3% | 0.84 | -75.3% | 43.5% | 23 | 71.9% |
| 6 | Center of Gravity | Weekly | 56.1% | 0.81 | -73.9% | 51.5% | 33 | 78.6% |
| 7 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 46.1% | 0.77 | -69.2% | 44.4% | 27 | 68.6% |
| 8 | Woodie Pivots | Weekly | 50.3% | 0.77 | -87.7% | 30.5% | 59 | 72.9% |
| 9 | Bullish Engulfing ✓ | Weekly | 46.7% | 0.76 | -73.7% | 50.0% | 16 | 69.2% |
| 10 | Volume Oscillator | Daily | 33.3% | 0.73 | -71.2% | 44.1% | 59 | 55.4% |
| 11 | Waddah Attar Explosion | Daily | 30.6% | 0.7 | -77.2% | 39.4% | 109 | 52.7% |
| 12 | Fibonacci Pivots | Daily | 25.6% | 0.67 | -80.2% | 53.2% | 325 | 47.7% |
| 13 | Hull MA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 27.3% | 0.67 | -84.5% | 38.5% | 52 | 49.4% |
| 14 | Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break ✓ | Daily | 23.6% | 0.67 | -42.3% | 44.4% | 45 | 45.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Lido, Connors RSI on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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