The best indicator for Russell 1000 Growth (IWF)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
SMC: Order Block
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) over ~26.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 2.0% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.83 | -22.7% | 55.2% | 29 | 2.0% |
| 2 | SMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.79 | -20.7% | 68.3% | 41 | 0.2% |
| 3 | EMA 8/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.77 | -29.9% | 72.2% | 18 | 0.8% |
| 4 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.77 | -21.1% | 69.6% | 23 | 0.4% |
| 5 | Volume-Weighted EMA ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.77 | -23.0% | 49.2% | 61 | 0.5% |
| 6 | CCI (200) ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.76 | -22.2% | 38.3% | 60 | 0.6% |
| 7 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.76 | -29.9% | 70.6% | 17 | 0.6% |
| 8 | ROC (30) ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.76 | -22.0% | 65.6% | 32 | 0.4% |
| 9 | CMO (30) ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.76 | -22.0% | 65.6% | 32 | 0.4% |
| 10 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.76 | -22.0% | 65.6% | 32 | 0.4% |
| 11 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.75 | -32.7% | 31.2% | 16 | 3.4% |
| 12 | Ehlers Decycler ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.75 | -19.0% | 53.0% | 66 | 0.0% |
| 13 | Trend Regularity Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.75 | -21.3% | 55.3% | 38 | 0.1% |
| 14 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.75 | -28.5% | 56.1% | 41 | 0.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Russell 1000 Growth (IWF), SMC: Order Block on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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