The best indicator for Floki
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Floki history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Ulcer Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Floki over ~7.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 66.7% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KAMA 10/30 Cross | Daily | 121.3% | 1.15 | -80.6% | 32.0% | 25 | 94.4% |
| 2 | Awesome Oscillator | Daily | 115.3% | 1.12 | -74.0% | 43.8% | 32 | 88.4% |
| 3 | Ulcer Index ✓ | Daily | 93.6% | 1.11 | -52.8% | 43.9% | 41 | 66.7% |
| 4 | EMA 9/26 Cross | Daily | 107.8% | 1.1 | -78.7% | 30.0% | 30 | 81.0% |
| 5 | WMA 10/40 Cross | Daily | 106.9% | 1.09 | -78.4% | 41.4% | 29 | 80.0% |
| 6 | SMA 10/40 Cross | Daily | 103.9% | 1.08 | -82.2% | 34.6% | 26 | 77.1% |
| 7 | Gann HiLo Activator | Weekly | 224.7% | 1.07 | -83.7% | 40.0% | 15 | 183.7% |
| 8 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 98.6% | 1.06 | -66.5% | 40.0% | 20 | 71.7% |
| 9 | EMA 8/21 Cross | Daily | 97.1% | 1.06 | -82.7% | 34.3% | 35 | 70.2% |
| 10 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 96.6% | 1.06 | -68.0% | 33.3% | 45 | 69.8% |
| 11 | Delta Volume Rising (CVD proxy) | Weekly | 246.4% | 1.06 | -79.8% | 42.1% | 19 | 205.4% |
| 12 | MAMA / FAMA | Daily | 93.3% | 1.05 | -84.0% | 32.4% | 37 | 66.4% |
| 13 | Andean Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 90.6% | 1.05 | -70.9% | 33.3% | 24 | 63.7% |
| 14 | SMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 95.0% | 1.05 | -66.4% | 38.1% | 63 | 68.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Floki, Ulcer Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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