The best indicator for Ethereum Classic (ETC)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Ethereum Classic (ETC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Ethereum Classic (ETC) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
STARC Bands
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Ethereum Classic (ETC) over ~12.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 30.6% CAGR.
Ethereum Classic (ETC) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Ethereum Classic (ETC) — beating buy-and-hold by 32.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Center of Gravity | Daily | 32.9% | 0.76 | -79.6% | 43.1% | 401 | 36.4% |
| 2 | STARC Bands ✓ | Daily | 27.0% | 0.71 | -56.0% | 43.2% | 44 | 30.6% |
| 3 | KDJ | Daily | 26.2% | 0.67 | -85.5% | 44.6% | 296 | 29.7% |
| 4 | T3 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 25.7% | 0.67 | -65.3% | 48.5% | 33 | 29.3% |
| 5 | Zero-Lag EMA Cross ✓ | Weekly | 31.6% | 0.65 | -74.9% | 37.5% | 16 | 37.4% |
| 6 | ZLEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 31.6% | 0.65 | -74.9% | 37.5% | 16 | 37.4% |
| 7 | LSMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 33.7% | 0.65 | -62.0% | 54.5% | 22 | 39.5% |
| 8 | Bollinger 50 (x2.5) Break ✓ | Daily | 17.8% | 0.64 | -22.0% | 46.5% | 43 | 21.4% |
| 9 | Fractal Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 33.3% | 0.64 | -60.2% | 31.4% | 51 | 39.1% |
| 10 | Bandpass Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 27.8% | 0.64 | -74.8% | 57.9% | 19 | 33.7% |
| 11 | Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break ✓ | Daily | 18.2% | 0.62 | -51.9% | 42.9% | 70 | 21.8% |
| 12 | Parabolic SAR ✓ | Weekly | 27.4% | 0.61 | -86.4% | 60.0% | 15 | 33.2% |
| 13 | Keltner Breakout ✓ | Daily | 19.9% | 0.6 | -58.2% | 44.4% | 36 | 23.5% |
| 14 | T3 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 20.5% | 0.6 | -77.0% | 50.0% | 22 | 24.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Ethereum Classic (ETC) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 401 of 401 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Ethereum Classic (ETC), STARC Bands on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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