The best indicator for Ethereum Classic (ETC)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Ethereum Classic (ETC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
STARC Bands
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Ethereum Classic (ETC) over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 34.7% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Ethereum Classic (ETC) — beating buy-and-hold by 32.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STARC Bands ✓ | Daily | 29.1% | 0.74 | -56.0% | 46.3% | 41 | 34.7% |
| 2 | Center of Gravity | Daily | 30.9% | 0.73 | -77.6% | 43.5% | 384 | 36.5% |
| 3 | Bollinger 50 (x2.5) Break ✓ | Daily | 20.0% | 0.69 | -22.0% | 46.3% | 41 | 25.5% |
| 4 | T3 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 25.7% | 0.67 | -65.3% | 46.9% | 32 | 31.2% |
| 5 | KDJ | Daily | 25.7% | 0.66 | -84.0% | 44.4% | 284 | 31.2% |
| 6 | LSMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 34.3% | 0.66 | -62.0% | 55.0% | 20 | 42.9% |
| 7 | Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break ✓ | Daily | 19.4% | 0.64 | -51.9% | 41.8% | 67 | 25.0% |
| 8 | Fractal Adaptive MA | Weekly | 33.0% | 0.64 | -60.2% | 30.0% | 50 | 41.6% |
| 9 | Zero-Lag EMA Cross ✓ | Weekly | 29.7% | 0.63 | -74.9% | 33.3% | 15 | 38.3% |
| 10 | ZLEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 29.7% | 0.63 | -74.9% | 33.3% | 15 | 38.3% |
| 11 | Keltner Breakout ✓ | Daily | 21.3% | 0.62 | -58.2% | 45.5% | 33 | 26.8% |
| 12 | Bandpass Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 25.5% | 0.62 | -74.8% | 55.6% | 18 | 34.1% |
| 13 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 26.1% | 0.6 | -73.8% | 35.3% | 17 | 34.7% |
| 14 | Waddah Attar Explosion | Daily | 19.0% | 0.59 | -76.9% | 40.9% | 176 | 24.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Ethereum Classic (ETC), STARC Bands on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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