The best indicator for Consumer Staples (XLP)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Consumer Staples (XLP) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Consumer Staples (XLP) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Money Flow Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Consumer Staples (XLP) over ~27.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.2% CAGR.
Consumer Staples (XLP) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Consumer Staples (XLP) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 5.5% | 0.57 | -28.4% | 86.7% | 30 | -1.2% |
| 2 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 5.7% | 0.56 | -22.3% | 52.9% | 17 | -0.7% |
| 3 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 4.8% | 0.55 | -22.6% | 82.9% | 41 | -1.9% |
| 4 | Connors RSI ✓ | Weekly | 4.3% | 0.54 | -26.7% | 73.8% | 65 | -2.2% |
| 5 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Weekly | 4.1% | 0.54 | -24.2% | 94.1% | 17 | -2.4% |
| 6 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.54 | -31.3% | 37.5% | 16 | -0.5% |
| 7 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 3.4% | 0.53 | -18.6% | 70.5% | 44 | -3.0% |
| 8 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.52 | -39.2% | 50.0% | 82 | -0.7% |
| 9 | ALMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 5.0% | 0.52 | -20.8% | 53.3% | 15 | -1.5% |
| 10 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.51 | -28.8% | 52.0% | 25 | -1.1% |
| 11 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 5.5% | 0.5 | -30.4% | 23.5% | 17 | -0.9% |
| 12 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 5.5% | 0.5 | -35.3% | 46.7% | 15 | -1.0% |
| 13 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Weekly | 3.7% | 0.49 | -25.5% | 72.4% | 58 | -2.8% |
| 14 | T3 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 4.1% | 0.48 | -22.3% | 53.3% | 15 | -2.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Consumer Staples (XLP)
1 of 672 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Consumer Staples (XLP) outright. Another 251 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 163 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detrended Price Osc. | 1 | none needed | 5.57× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.17× | 5.65× |
| QQE | — | 1.53× | 4.7× |
| Williams %R | — | 1.77× | 8.42× |
| MA Envelope | — | 1.85× | 5.37× |
| Ichimoku TK Cross | — | 2.02× | 6.26× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Consumer Staples (XLP), Money Flow Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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