The best indicator for dogwifhat
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real dogwifhat history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Bollinger Mean-Reversion
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for dogwifhat over ~3.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 47.1% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Woodie Pivots | Daily | 103.4% | 1.16 | -64.8% | 36.8% | 185 | 104.1% |
| 2 | Ichimoku Cloud | Daily | 107.4% | 1.24 | -51.1% | 35.7% | 14 | 108.1% |
| 3 | Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break | Daily | 73.8% | 1.12 | -38.3% | 42.9% | 49 | 74.5% |
| 4 | Accumulation Swing Index | Daily | 93.9% | 1.11 | -72.7% | 39.7% | 194 | 94.7% |
| 5 | Swing Index | Daily | 93.9% | 1.11 | -72.7% | 39.7% | 194 | 94.7% |
| 6 | RSI (21) | Daily | 93.7% | 1.1 | -74.1% | 46.9% | 32 | 94.4% |
| 7 | Chaikin Money Flow | Daily | 89.2% | 1.09 | -72.2% | 43.5% | 46 | 90.0% |
| 8 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | 83.5% | 1.05 | -69.2% | 36.4% | 154 | 84.2% |
| 9 | Chande Forecast Osc. | Daily | 80.6% | 1.05 | -81.1% | 36.4% | 99 | 81.4% |
| 10 | Relative Volume Spike | Daily | 90.4% | 1.18 | -33.8% | 53.8% | 13 | 91.1% |
| 11 | Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break | Daily | 49.6% | 1.0 | -37.4% | 45.0% | 20 | 50.3% |
| 12 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 70.6% | 0.99 | -75.9% | 41.3% | 46 | 71.3% |
| 13 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 46.3% | 0.99 | -34.0% | 75.0% | 16 | 47.1% |
| 14 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Daily | 46.3% | 0.99 | -34.0% | 75.0% | 16 | 47.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For dogwifhat, Bollinger Mean-Reversion on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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