The best indicator for Health Care (VHT)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Health Care (VHT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Health Care (VHT) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Stochastic
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Health Care (VHT) over ~22.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.1% CAGR.
Health Care (VHT) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Health Care (VHT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.76 | -13.5% | 100.0% | 20 | -4.1% |
| 2 | Order-Flow Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.73 | -13.5% | 89.5% | 19 | -3.6% |
| 3 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.67 | -25.6% | 43.8% | 16 | -0.0% |
| 4 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 8.4% | 0.66 | -28.9% | 60.0% | 25 | -1.1% |
| 5 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 8.9% | 0.64 | -28.9% | 25.0% | 28 | -0.7% |
| 6 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.64 | -25.6% | 57.2% | 138 | -2.3% |
| 7 | Zero-Lag LSMA ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.64 | -21.2% | 58.6% | 87 | -3.4% |
| 8 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.62 | -23.9% | 42.9% | 21 | -1.7% |
| 9 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 5.5% | 0.61 | -15.3% | 49.0% | 98 | -4.0% |
| 10 | On-Balance Volume ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.6 | -19.0% | 52.1% | 73 | -3.0% |
| 11 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 4.9% | 0.59 | -13.5% | 88.9% | 18 | -4.6% |
| 12 | Chande Momentum Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.59 | -18.6% | 48.0% | 75 | -3.6% |
| 13 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Weekly | 4.9% | 0.59 | -13.5% | 88.9% | 18 | -4.6% |
| 14 | Vortex (7) ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.59 | -20.4% | 64.4% | 73 | -3.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Health Care (VHT)
2 of 663 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Health Care (VHT) outright. Another 271 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 209 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | 1 | 2.0× | 3.51× |
| DEMA 20/50 Cross | 1 | none needed | 10.87× |
| MA Envelope | — | 1.51× | 4.85× |
| Connors RSI | — | 1.89× | 6.62× |
| Williams %R | — | 1.92× | 4.46× |
| Markov Regime (Confirmed) | — | 2.05× | 4.86× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Health Care (VHT), Stochastic on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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