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The best indicator for Toncoin (TON)

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Toncoin (TON) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling LONG right now — Stochastic (Daily) has been long for 2 bars, as of 2026-07-28.
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Oscillator · Daily

Stochastic

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Toncoin (TON) over ~8.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 64.4% CAGR.

9.1%
CAGR
0.95
Sharpe
-99.7%
Max DD
60.0%
Win rate
1.5
Profit factor
+64.4%
vs Buy&Hold
MIXED
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

StochasticQQE

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Toncoin (TON) — beating buy-and-hold by 67.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

12.3%
CAGR
0.94
Sharpe
39.4%
Win rate
94
Trades
+67.7%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Stochastic
+64.4% · Sharpe 0.95
Weekly
Fisher Transform
+50.2% · Sharpe 0.87
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Stochastic Daily9.1%0.95-99.7%60.0%2564.4%
2Stochastic Momentum Index Daily11.4%0.95-99.7%48.3%2966.7%
3Smoothed Heikin-Ashi Daily-31.9%0.92-99.9%43.2%13223.4%
4Williams %R Daily3.9%0.89-99.7%46.5%4359.2%
5Intraday Momentum Index Daily-54.8%0.87-99.9%54.2%240.5%
6VWAP Bands Daily493.6%0.87-99.8%58.5%53549.0%
7Murrey Math Lines Daily428.0%0.87-98.9%52.0%25483.4%
8Projection Bands Daily1160.0%0.87-99.4%59.2%761215.3%
9Fisher Transform Weekly-18.6%0.87-100.0%29.0%3150.2%
10Price Volume Trend Daily-52.6%0.86-100.0%40.0%302.7%
11Camarilla Pivots Weekly125.0%0.86-93.6%38.1%63193.7%
12Laguerre RSI Daily-15.9%0.83-99.9%49.2%6339.4%
13QQE Daily-63.0%0.83-100.0%36.7%120-7.7%
14MA Envelope Daily4160.2%0.83-98.9%57.1%1124215.5%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Toncoin (TON), Stochastic on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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