The best indicator for Toncoin (TON)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Toncoin (TON) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Toncoin (TON) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Stochastic
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Toncoin (TON) over ~8.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 64.4% CAGR.
Toncoin (TON) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Toncoin (TON) — beating buy-and-hold by 67.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.95 | -99.7% | 60.0% | 25 | 64.4% |
| 2 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 11.4% | 0.95 | -99.7% | 48.3% | 29 | 66.7% |
| 3 | Smoothed Heikin-Ashi ✓ | Daily | -31.9% | 0.92 | -99.9% | 43.2% | 132 | 23.4% |
| 4 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 3.9% | 0.89 | -99.7% | 46.5% | 43 | 59.2% |
| 5 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | -54.8% | 0.87 | -99.9% | 54.2% | 24 | 0.5% |
| 6 | VWAP Bands ✓ | Daily | 493.6% | 0.87 | -99.8% | 58.5% | 53 | 549.0% |
| 7 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 428.0% | 0.87 | -98.9% | 52.0% | 25 | 483.4% |
| 8 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 1160.0% | 0.87 | -99.4% | 59.2% | 76 | 1215.3% |
| 9 | Fisher Transform ✓ | Weekly | -18.6% | 0.87 | -100.0% | 29.0% | 31 | 50.2% |
| 10 | Price Volume Trend ✓ | Daily | -52.6% | 0.86 | -100.0% | 40.0% | 30 | 2.7% |
| 11 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 125.0% | 0.86 | -93.6% | 38.1% | 63 | 193.7% |
| 12 | Laguerre RSI ✓ | Daily | -15.9% | 0.83 | -99.9% | 49.2% | 63 | 39.4% |
| 13 | QQE ✓ | Daily | -63.0% | 0.83 | -100.0% | 36.7% | 120 | -7.7% |
| 14 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 4160.2% | 0.83 | -98.9% | 57.1% | 112 | 4215.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Toncoin (TON) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 352 of 352 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Toncoin (TON), Stochastic on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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