The best indicator for Synthetix
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Synthetix history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
UT Bot (ATR Trailing)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Synthetix over ~8.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 101.3% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UT Bot (ATR Trailing) ✓ | Weekly | 94.0% | 1.15 | -62.1% | 68.8% | 16 | 101.3% |
| 2 | Relative Vigor Index ✓ | Weekly | 87.9% | 1.1 | -75.7% | 62.1% | 29 | 95.3% |
| 3 | Jurik MA (approx.) ✓ | Weekly | 73.6% | 1.03 | -71.6% | 46.4% | 28 | 81.0% |
| 4 | ROC (5) | Weekly | 73.1% | 1.02 | -80.1% | 28.9% | 38 | 80.4% |
| 5 | Stoch RSI (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 75.4% | 1.02 | -86.8% | 44.4% | 36 | 82.8% |
| 6 | ZLEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 72.1% | 1.0 | -74.1% | 41.7% | 24 | 79.5% |
| 7 | QQE MOD | Weekly | 67.9% | 0.99 | -80.6% | 41.2% | 17 | 75.2% |
| 8 | Super Smoother (Ehlers) ✓ | Weekly | 69.4% | 0.99 | -72.3% | 47.4% | 19 | 76.7% |
| 9 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 77.2% | 1.05 | -60.2% | 57.1% | 14 | 84.5% |
| 10 | HMA 9/21 Cross | Weekly | 67.6% | 0.98 | -86.4% | 45.5% | 22 | 74.9% |
| 11 | Stochastic Slow (21,5) | Weekly | 63.9% | 0.96 | -79.1% | 42.3% | 26 | 71.2% |
| 12 | Zero-Lag EMA Cross ✓ | Weekly | 63.9% | 0.95 | -86.9% | 53.3% | 15 | 71.2% |
| 13 | Least Squares MA ✓ | Weekly | 63.9% | 0.95 | -74.1% | 56.0% | 25 | 71.2% |
| 14 | ZLEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 63.9% | 0.95 | -86.9% | 53.3% | 15 | 71.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Synthetix, UT Bot (ATR Trailing) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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