The best indicator for THORChain
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real THORChain history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where THORChain stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Rainbow MA
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for THORChain over ~7.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 118.9% CAGR.
THORChain on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rainbow MA ✓ | Weekly | 193.0% | 1.49 | -59.7% | 48.5% | 33 | 118.9% |
| 2 | Disparity (5) ✓ | Weekly | 191.6% | 1.47 | -68.5% | 51.4% | 37 | 117.5% |
| 3 | Coppock Curve ✓ | Daily | 116.1% | 1.33 | -66.4% | 55.1% | 49 | 71.5% |
| 4 | Ehlers Relative Vigor ✓ | Weekly | 141.1% | 1.33 | -60.8% | 53.6% | 28 | 67.0% |
| 5 | TSI (13,7) ✓ | Daily | 111.8% | 1.32 | -65.7% | 41.5% | 65 | 67.2% |
| 6 | Linear Regression Slope ✓ | Daily | 111.0% | 1.31 | -66.4% | 51.9% | 52 | 66.5% |
| 7 | Correlation Trend ✓ | Daily | 111.0% | 1.31 | -66.4% | 51.9% | 52 | 66.5% |
| 8 | SMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 101.3% | 1.29 | -61.5% | 45.7% | 81 | 56.8% |
| 9 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 108.1% | 1.29 | -61.0% | 52.5% | 40 | 63.6% |
| 10 | Ehlers SuperSmoother ✓ | Weekly | 135.8% | 1.29 | -67.0% | 42.2% | 45 | 61.7% |
| 11 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Daily | 105.1% | 1.28 | -68.6% | 46.5% | 43 | 60.6% |
| 12 | Woodies CCI ✓ | Weekly | 129.7% | 1.28 | -77.4% | 43.5% | 23 | 55.6% |
| 13 | Guppy Multiple MA ✓ | Daily | 103.6% | 1.27 | -75.0% | 44.1% | 34 | 59.1% |
| 14 | EMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 100.1% | 1.27 | -74.2% | 41.9% | 105 | 55.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on THORChain lost money across the out-of-sample window in 357 of 357 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For THORChain, Rainbow MA on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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