The best indicator for THORChain
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real THORChain history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where THORChain stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Rainbow MA
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for THORChain over ~7.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 122.8% CAGR.
THORChain on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rainbow MA ✓ | Weekly | 183.5% | 1.45 | -59.7% | 45.2% | 31 | 122.8% |
| 2 | Disparity (5) ✓ | Weekly | 185.5% | 1.44 | -68.5% | 47.1% | 34 | 124.8% |
| 3 | Coppock Curve | Daily | 111.2% | 1.3 | -66.4% | 53.2% | 47 | 74.5% |
| 4 | TSI (13,7) | Daily | 107.3% | 1.29 | -63.9% | 40.3% | 62 | 70.6% |
| 5 | Linear Regression Slope | Daily | 106.2% | 1.27 | -66.4% | 52.0% | 50 | 69.5% |
| 6 | Correlation Trend | Daily | 106.2% | 1.27 | -66.4% | 52.0% | 50 | 69.5% |
| 7 | Ehlers Relative Vigor ✓ | Weekly | 127.1% | 1.27 | -60.8% | 53.8% | 26 | 66.4% |
| 8 | WMA 10/40 Cross | Daily | 103.8% | 1.26 | -61.0% | 52.6% | 38 | 67.2% |
| 9 | EMA 9/26 Cross | Daily | 101.3% | 1.25 | -68.6% | 47.5% | 40 | 64.6% |
| 10 | SMA 30 Trend | Daily | 95.5% | 1.25 | -61.5% | 44.9% | 78 | 58.8% |
| 11 | Ehlers SuperSmoother | Weekly | 125.7% | 1.25 | -67.0% | 37.2% | 43 | 65.0% |
| 12 | Woodies CCI ✓ | Weekly | 122.3% | 1.24 | -77.4% | 38.1% | 21 | 61.6% |
| 13 | Vortex | Daily | 99.8% | 1.23 | -84.2% | 45.8% | 118 | 63.1% |
| 14 | Guppy Multiple MA | Daily | 97.4% | 1.23 | -75.0% | 43.8% | 32 | 60.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on THORChain lost money across the out-of-sample window in 357 of 357 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For THORChain, Rainbow MA on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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