The best indicator for Decentraland
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Decentraland history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Decentraland stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
TRIMA 30 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Decentraland over ~12.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 30.5% CAGR.
Decentraland on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 45.3% | 0.79 | -64.4% | 46.8% | 79 | 30.5% |
| 2 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 49.7% | 0.78 | -75.0% | 43.6% | 39 | 34.9% |
| 3 | Supertrend (10,3) | Daily | 46.6% | 0.77 | -84.6% | 44.4% | 36 | 31.8% |
| 4 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Daily | 46.2% | 0.77 | -79.8% | 39.7% | 63 | 31.4% |
| 5 | Fisher Transform | Daily | 45.2% | 0.76 | -84.9% | 43.4% | 297 | 30.4% |
| 6 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Daily | 45.3% | 0.76 | -85.3% | 36.1% | 61 | 30.5% |
| 7 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Daily | 45.2% | 0.76 | -87.6% | 35.4% | 113 | 30.4% |
| 8 | Ehlers SuperSmoother ✓ | Weekly | 72.8% | 0.76 | -81.1% | 48.1% | 54 | 46.0% |
| 9 | Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) ✓ | Daily | 43.3% | 0.74 | -77.4% | 41.5% | 205 | 28.5% |
| 10 | Relative Volatility Index ✓ | Daily | 43.0% | 0.74 | -82.7% | 40.7% | 221 | 28.2% |
| 11 | Instantaneous Trendline ✓ | Daily | 42.2% | 0.74 | -88.3% | 41.5% | 123 | 27.4% |
| 12 | KAMA 10/30 Cross | Daily | 43.2% | 0.74 | -83.1% | 40.0% | 35 | 28.4% |
| 13 | KAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 43.1% | 0.74 | -81.1% | 39.0% | 123 | 28.2% |
| 14 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | Daily | 38.2% | 0.73 | -76.0% | 41.2% | 51 | 23.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Decentraland lost money across the out-of-sample window in 431 of 431 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Decentraland, TRIMA 30 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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