The best indicator for Kusama
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Kusama history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Regularized EMA
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Kusama over ~6.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 88.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Disparity Index | Weekly | 94.3% | 1.08 | -77.0% | 29.4% | 17 | 86.8% |
| 2 | Regularized EMA ✓ | Weekly | 95.8% | 1.08 | -80.4% | 43.8% | 16 | 88.4% |
| 3 | CCI (14) ✓ | Weekly | 104.1% | 1.13 | -78.4% | 21.4% | 14 | 96.7% |
| 4 | Balance of Power | Weekly | 86.4% | 1.04 | -79.5% | 25.0% | 16 | 79.0% |
| 5 | Q-Stick ✓ | Weekly | 84.0% | 1.03 | -80.4% | 40.9% | 22 | 76.6% |
| 6 | ROC (5) ✓ | Weekly | 84.1% | 1.03 | -77.6% | 36.7% | 30 | 76.7% |
| 7 | Volume Zone Oscillator | Weekly | 82.5% | 1.02 | -82.1% | 37.5% | 32 | 75.0% |
| 8 | Elder Bull Power ✓ | Weekly | 81.6% | 1.02 | -79.1% | 47.4% | 19 | 74.2% |
| 9 | Smoothed Heikin-Ashi | Weekly | 78.2% | 1.01 | -80.4% | 31.2% | 16 | 70.8% |
| 10 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 75.6% | 0.99 | -80.4% | 40.9% | 22 | 68.2% |
| 11 | Disparity (10) ✓ | Weekly | 75.6% | 0.99 | -80.4% | 40.9% | 22 | 68.2% |
| 12 | Gaussian Channel ✓ | Weekly | 74.0% | 0.98 | -81.9% | 31.6% | 19 | 66.6% |
| 13 | RSI (9) ✓ | Weekly | 85.6% | 1.04 | -77.3% | 28.6% | 14 | 78.2% |
| 14 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 64.4% | 0.96 | -58.6% | 42.9% | 56 | 58.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Kusama, Regularized EMA on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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