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The best indicator for Core Emerging (IEMG)

We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Core Emerging (IEMG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling FLAT right now — Fractal Adaptive MA (Weekly) is out of the market, as of 2026-06-08.
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Trend · Weekly

Fractal Adaptive MA

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Core Emerging (IEMG) over ~13.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.2% CAGR.

5.0%
CAGR
0.53
Sharpe
-21.7%
Max DD
42.5%
Win rate
0.96
Profit factor
-1.2%
vs Buy&Hold
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

DeMarkerDonchian Breakout

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Core Emerging (IEMG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

2.6%
CAGR
0.78
Sharpe
50.0%
Win rate
28
Trades
-3.7%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
Fractal Adaptive MA
-1.2% · Sharpe 0.53
Daily
KAMA 10/30 Cross
-0.5% · Sharpe 0.52
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Fractal Adaptive MA Weekly5.0%0.53-21.7%42.5%87-1.2%
2KAMA 10/30 Cross Daily5.8%0.52-24.6%41.7%36-0.5%
3Coral Trend Weekly6.2%0.52-29.4%53.3%15-0.1%
4SMC: Change of Character Daily6.1%0.52-24.4%51.5%33-0.1%
5T3 30 Trend Weekly5.7%0.55-25.2%35.7%14-0.5%
6WMA 10/30 Cross Weekly6.9%0.59-22.4%46.2%130.7%
7Bollinger Squeeze Daily2.6%0.5-7.7%63.2%19-3.6%
8TRIX (21) Daily5.8%0.5-26.2%42.3%26-0.5%
9Trend Regularity Adaptive MA Weekly5.2%0.5-26.2%40.0%15-1.0%
10LSMA 100 Trend Weekly5.0%0.5-21.1%42.9%21-1.3%
11EMA Cascade Rider Daily5.0%0.5-16.9%44.9%49-1.3%
12CCI (30) Weekly5.6%0.49-19.4%39.1%23-0.6%
13Premier Stochastic Weekly5.8%0.48-24.4%40.9%22-0.5%
14FRAMA 200 Trend Weekly5.1%0.47-19.6%40.6%32-1.2%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Core Emerging (IEMG), Fractal Adaptive MA on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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