The best indicator for Emerging Markets (VWO)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Emerging Markets (VWO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
KAMA 10/30 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Emerging Markets (VWO) over ~21.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.4% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Emerging Markets (VWO) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.62 | -28.4% | 45.3% | 53 | 1.4% |
| 2 | Cutler's RSI ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.6 | -25.4% | 54.5% | 55 | 1.1% |
| 3 | ROC (14) ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.6 | -25.4% | 54.5% | 55 | 1.1% |
| 4 | CMO (14) ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.6 | -25.4% | 54.5% | 55 | 1.1% |
| 5 | Price Momentum Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.57 | -26.5% | 51.7% | 29 | 0.3% |
| 6 | Coppock Curve ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.55 | -28.4% | 54.5% | 22 | 0.5% |
| 7 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 6.8% | 0.54 | -24.5% | 52.2% | 46 | -0.0% |
| 8 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.53 | -30.1% | 51.2% | 43 | 0.2% |
| 9 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.53 | -23.4% | 55.0% | 20 | 0.3% |
| 10 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.53 | -30.1% | 51.2% | 43 | 0.2% |
| 11 | Instantaneous Trendline ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.52 | -25.5% | 56.4% | 39 | -0.2% |
| 12 | EMA Cascade Rider ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.52 | -26.0% | 44.7% | 76 | -0.6% |
| 13 | EMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.1% | 0.51 | -24.7% | 35.3% | 34 | 0.3% |
| 14 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.51 | -38.6% | 46.3% | 41 | -0.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Emerging Markets (VWO), KAMA 10/30 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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