The best indicator for Developed Markets (VEA)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Developed Markets (VEA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Developed Markets (VEA) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Hull MA 20/80 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Developed Markets (VEA) over ~19.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.9% CAGR.
Developed Markets (VEA) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Developed Markets (VEA) — beating buy-and-hold by 0.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.7 | -17.4% | 61.1% | 18 | 1.9% |
| 2 | Hull Suite ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.67 | -23.2% | 66.7% | 15 | 2.2% |
| 3 | T3 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 5.5% | 0.66 | -19.4% | 27.3% | 22 | 0.3% |
| 4 | T3 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.6 | -16.6% | 66.7% | 24 | 1.5% |
| 5 | Know Sure Thing ✓ | Weekly | 5.6% | 0.56 | -19.5% | 52.2% | 23 | 0.4% |
| 6 | WMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.56 | -23.3% | 55.6% | 18 | 0.9% |
| 7 | Coral Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.55 | -22.6% | 52.6% | 19 | 0.9% |
| 8 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.55 | -31.1% | 44.4% | 54 | 2.9% |
| 9 | Instantaneous Trendline ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.53 | -23.6% | 48.5% | 33 | 0.6% |
| 10 | Inverse Fisher RSI ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.53 | -20.1% | 53.6% | 28 | 0.5% |
| 11 | TRIX ✓ | Weekly | 5.3% | 0.52 | -19.6% | 54.5% | 22 | 0.0% |
| 12 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.52 | -25.0% | 38.1% | 42 | 0.9% |
| 13 | TRIX (9) ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.52 | -26.4% | 50.0% | 16 | 0.6% |
| 14 | Ulcer Index ✓ | Weekly | 4.2% | 0.51 | -17.1% | 54.2% | 24 | -1.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Developed Markets (VEA)
1 of 590 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Developed Markets (VEA) outright. Another 404 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 100 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorentzian Classification | 1 | 4.1× | 6.96× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 3.16× | 5.68× |
| KAMA 30 Trend | — | 1.29× | 6.32× |
| QQE | — | 1.33× | 3.4× |
| McGinley Dynamic | — | 1.35× | 5.21× |
| RSI (30) | — | 1.38× | 6.16× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Developed Markets (VEA), Hull MA 20/80 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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