The best indicator for Taiwan (EWT)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Taiwan (EWT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
TEMA 20/50 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Taiwan (EWT) over ~26.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Taiwan (EWT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.63 | -33.8% | 64.0% | 25 | 1.8% |
| 2 | DEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.63 | -29.5% | 61.8% | 34 | 3.0% |
| 3 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.58 | -47.2% | 57.4% | 237 | 1.7% |
| 4 | T3 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.3% | 0.56 | -23.2% | 52.5% | 40 | 1.1% |
| 5 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.56 | -31.9% | 64.3% | 28 | 1.2% |
| 6 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.55 | -48.4% | 56.6% | 219 | 0.9% |
| 7 | TRIX ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.54 | -39.2% | 54.5% | 33 | 1.1% |
| 8 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.54 | -30.6% | 65.5% | 29 | 0.7% |
| 9 | Guppy Multiple MA ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.53 | -33.2% | 45.1% | 91 | 0.9% |
| 10 | EMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.53 | -35.0% | 39.8% | 83 | 0.9% |
| 11 | CCI (50) ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.53 | -28.6% | 48.4% | 31 | 0.9% |
| 12 | TRIX (9) ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.53 | -28.4% | 63.6% | 22 | 1.1% |
| 13 | CCI (30) ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.52 | -28.8% | 38.7% | 261 | 0.8% |
| 14 | Know Sure Thing ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.52 | -39.3% | 64.7% | 34 | 0.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Taiwan (EWT), TEMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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