The best indicator for Dividend (DVY)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dividend (DVY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
TRIMA 200 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dividend (DVY) over ~22.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.0% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dividend (DVY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 7.0% | 0.73 | -19.2% | 58.5% | 41 | -2.0% |
| 2 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.73 | -27.7% | 70.6% | 17 | -0.5% |
| 3 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.72 | -29.9% | 76.5% | 17 | -0.7% |
| 4 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.7 | -29.0% | 68.8% | 16 | -1.3% |
| 5 | CCI (200) ✓ | Daily | 7.2% | 0.7 | -20.2% | 36.1% | 61 | -1.7% |
| 6 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 8.9% | 0.69 | -34.5% | 37.5% | 24 | -0.0% |
| 7 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.69 | -31.1% | 52.4% | 21 | -0.1% |
| 8 | Relative Momentum Index ✓ | Weekly | 7.7% | 0.68 | -28.1% | 53.3% | 15 | -1.2% |
| 9 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.4% | 0.66 | -24.3% | 48.6% | 74 | -2.5% |
| 10 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.66 | -27.9% | 54.2% | 24 | -1.6% |
| 11 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.74 | -24.8% | 69.2% | 13 | -0.7% |
| 12 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.64 | -20.4% | 64.7% | 17 | -2.9% |
| 13 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Weekly | 7.7% | 0.64 | -40.4% | 61.9% | 21 | -1.2% |
| 14 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.63 | -39.2% | 68.0% | 25 | -1.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Dividend (DVY), TRIMA 200 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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