The best indicator for Dogecoin (DOGE)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dogecoin (DOGE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Exponential Hull MA
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dogecoin (DOGE) over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 43.6% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dogecoin (DOGE) — beating buy-and-hold by 36.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Exponential Hull MA ✓ | Daily | 82.5% | 1.09 | -67.5% | 39.9% | 188 | 43.6% |
| 2 | Fractal Adaptive MA ✓ | Daily | 80.4% | 1.08 | -81.4% | 42.1% | 349 | 41.4% |
| 3 | Derivative Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 74.4% | 1.08 | -55.9% | 36.9% | 195 | 35.4% |
| 4 | Vortex ✓ | Daily | 82.5% | 1.07 | -65.6% | 40.6% | 138 | 43.5% |
| 5 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 82.5% | 1.07 | -65.6% | 40.6% | 138 | 43.5% |
| 6 | Jurik MA (approx.) ✓ | Daily | 79.8% | 1.07 | -63.6% | 40.7% | 270 | 40.8% |
| 7 | Coppock (fast) ✓ | Daily | 82.3% | 1.07 | -65.5% | 43.6% | 101 | 43.3% |
| 8 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 82.5% | 1.07 | -65.6% | 40.6% | 138 | 43.5% |
| 9 | Stochastic (20,5) ✓ | Daily | 76.2% | 1.05 | -75.5% | 39.0% | 213 | 37.2% |
| 10 | Cascade Z-Score ✓ | Daily | 77.4% | 1.05 | -76.9% | 45.3% | 75 | 38.4% |
| 11 | Gaussian Channel ✓ | Daily | 76.0% | 1.04 | -78.4% | 39.6% | 202 | 37.1% |
| 12 | Impulse MACD ✓ | Daily | 73.4% | 1.04 | -58.3% | 44.5% | 110 | 34.4% |
| 13 | DPO (10) ✓ | Daily | 76.8% | 1.04 | -76.0% | 36.7% | 139 | 37.9% |
| 14 | Aroon ✓ | Daily | 76.0% | 1.03 | -70.2% | 45.0% | 111 | 37.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Dogecoin (DOGE), Exponential Hull MA on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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