The best indicator for Dogecoin (DOGE)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dogecoin (DOGE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Dogecoin (DOGE) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Price Momentum Oscillator
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dogecoin (DOGE) over ~12.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 57.6% CAGR.
Dogecoin (DOGE) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dogecoin (DOGE) — beating buy-and-hold by 36.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Price Momentum Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 96.1% | 1.17 | -62.1% | 51.4% | 70 | 57.6% |
| 2 | Super Smoother (Ehlers) ✓ | Daily | 81.9% | 1.09 | -77.6% | 37.5% | 184 | 43.4% |
| 3 | Fractal Adaptive MA ✓ | Daily | 77.1% | 1.07 | -81.4% | 42.7% | 361 | 38.6% |
| 4 | Derivative Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 71.6% | 1.06 | -55.9% | 36.4% | 206 | 33.0% |
| 5 | Exponential Hull MA ✓ | Daily | 77.4% | 1.06 | -73.1% | 40.4% | 198 | 38.8% |
| 6 | Woodies CCI ✓ | Daily | 75.9% | 1.06 | -64.6% | 41.1% | 224 | 37.4% |
| 7 | Jurik MA (approx.) ✓ | Daily | 76.6% | 1.05 | -71.4% | 41.8% | 282 | 38.1% |
| 8 | Vortex ✓ | Daily | 76.1% | 1.04 | -65.6% | 42.3% | 149 | 37.5% |
| 9 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 76.1% | 1.04 | -65.6% | 42.3% | 149 | 37.5% |
| 10 | Impulse MACD ✓ | Daily | 71.8% | 1.04 | -58.3% | 44.2% | 113 | 33.3% |
| 11 | Coppock (fast) ✓ | Daily | 76.8% | 1.04 | -65.5% | 43.0% | 107 | 38.3% |
| 12 | Stochastic (20,5) ✓ | Daily | 73.9% | 1.04 | -78.4% | 38.7% | 222 | 35.4% |
| 13 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 76.1% | 1.04 | -65.6% | 42.3% | 149 | 37.5% |
| 14 | Gaussian Channel ✓ | Daily | 73.9% | 1.03 | -78.4% | 40.7% | 209 | 35.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Dogecoin (DOGE)
340 of 1161 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Dogecoin (DOGE) outright. Another 2 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 10 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) | 4 | none needed | 2.24× |
| EMA-10 Trend | 2 | none needed | 1.64× |
| VWAP Trend | 2 | none needed | 1.59× |
| Fisher Transform | 2 | none needed | 1.75× |
| On-Balance Volume | 2 | none needed | 1.41× |
| VWMA vs Price | 2 | none needed | 1.61× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Dogecoin (DOGE), Price Momentum Oscillator on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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