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The best indicator for PancakeSwap (CAKE)

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real PancakeSwap (CAKE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling SHORT right now — its only tested short edge (Jurik MA (approx.)) is signaling short — a rare case where shorting this beat staying flat (+12.3% CAGR). Signal as of 2026-09-10.
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Key levels · as of 2026-09-11

Where PancakeSwap (CAKE) stands

2.1320
last daily close (2026-09-11)
1.4701
200-day simple moving average price 45.0% above
1.6409
50-day simple moving average price 29.9% above
1.1609–2.2650
52-week range

Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.

Trend · Daily

Jurik MA (approx.)

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for PancakeSwap (CAKE) over ~8.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 102.0% CAGR.

103.4%
CAGR
1.35
Sharpe
-54.0%
Max DD
42.7%
Win rate
2.8
Profit factor
+102.0%
vs Buy&Hold
Chart

PancakeSwap (CAKE) on the daily chart

The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.

Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.

NOTHING BEAT BUY-AND-HOLD
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

Supertrend (10,3)Fisher Transform

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for PancakeSwap (CAKE) — beating buy-and-hold by 79.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

80.8%
CAGR
1.27
Sharpe
51.0%
Win rate
96
Trades
+79.5%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Jurik MA (approx.)
+102.0% · Sharpe 1.35
Weekly
Stochastic (10,3)
+73.4% · Sharpe 1.02
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Jurik MA (approx.) Daily103.4%1.35-54.0%42.7%164102.0%
2Woodies CCI Daily84.5%1.2-67.7%41.2%13683.2%
3Range Filter Daily68.0%1.19-33.7%51.4%10766.6%
4Hull MA Trend Daily83.7%1.18-67.6%41.4%9982.3%
5Pretty Good Oscillator Daily84.0%1.18-71.8%39.5%12482.7%
6Elder Impulse Daily72.1%1.18-72.0%47.7%19970.8%
7Rainbow MA Daily84.5%1.18-69.7%44.0%21883.2%
8Williams %R (7) Daily81.1%1.16-66.1%41.8%18479.7%
9MBFX Timing Daily81.1%1.16-66.1%41.8%18479.7%
10Perfect Trend Line Daily81.3%1.15-72.7%44.7%21979.9%
11Relative Volume Spike Daily68.2%1.15-51.0%43.8%3266.8%
12Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break Daily55.7%1.14-27.2%45.1%5154.3%
13Triangular Hull MA Daily74.7%1.13-62.4%39.3%11273.3%
14Holt Double-Exp MA Daily72.9%1.13-72.1%39.9%17871.6%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What leverage would it take to beat buy & hold?

The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on PancakeSwap (CAKE) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 401 of 401 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that

What this means

For PancakeSwap (CAKE), Jurik MA (approx.) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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