The best indicator for PancakeSwap (CAKE)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real PancakeSwap (CAKE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Jurik MA (approx.)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for PancakeSwap (CAKE) over ~8.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 102.0% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for PancakeSwap (CAKE) — beating buy-and-hold by 79.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jurik MA (approx.) ✓ | Daily | 103.4% | 1.35 | -54.0% | 42.7% | 164 | 102.0% |
| 2 | Range Filter ✓ | Daily | 68.0% | 1.19 | -33.7% | 51.4% | 107 | 66.6% |
| 3 | Hull MA Trend ✓ | Daily | 83.7% | 1.18 | -67.6% | 41.4% | 99 | 82.3% |
| 4 | Pretty Good Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 84.0% | 1.18 | -71.8% | 39.5% | 124 | 82.7% |
| 5 | Elder Impulse ✓ | Daily | 72.1% | 1.18 | -72.0% | 47.7% | 199 | 70.8% |
| 6 | Williams %R (7) ✓ | Daily | 81.1% | 1.16 | -66.1% | 41.8% | 184 | 79.7% |
| 7 | MBFX Timing ✓ | Daily | 81.1% | 1.16 | -66.1% | 41.8% | 184 | 79.7% |
| 8 | Perfect Trend Line ✓ | Daily | 81.3% | 1.15 | -72.7% | 44.7% | 219 | 79.9% |
| 9 | Relative Volume Spike ✓ | Daily | 68.2% | 1.15 | -51.0% | 43.8% | 32 | 66.8% |
| 10 | Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break ✓ | Daily | 55.7% | 1.14 | -27.2% | 45.1% | 51 | 54.3% |
| 11 | Triangular Hull MA ✓ | Daily | 74.7% | 1.13 | -62.4% | 39.3% | 112 | 73.3% |
| 12 | Holt Double-Exp MA ✓ | Daily | 72.9% | 1.13 | -72.1% | 39.9% | 178 | 71.6% |
| 13 | Vortex (7) ✓ | Daily | 78.3% | 1.13 | -70.9% | 42.5% | 134 | 76.9% |
| 14 | Exponential Hull MA ✓ | Daily | 74.1% | 1.12 | -61.6% | 39.7% | 136 | 72.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For PancakeSwap (CAKE), Jurik MA (approx.) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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