The best indicator for Bitcoin Cash (BCH)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Bitcoin Cash (BCH) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
HalfTrend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Bitcoin Cash (BCH) over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 35.5% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — beating buy-and-hold by 31.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | True Strength Index | Daily | 30.7% | 0.72 | -72.7% | 37.0% | 119 | 38.9% |
| 2 | HalfTrend ✓ | Daily | 27.3% | 0.66 | -65.6% | 32.9% | 82 | 35.5% |
| 3 | Derivative Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 23.9% | 0.66 | -61.0% | 42.7% | 213 | 32.1% |
| 4 | Supertrend (7,2) ✓ | Daily | 26.1% | 0.65 | -68.3% | 42.3% | 71 | 34.3% |
| 5 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) ✓ | Daily | 25.5% | 0.64 | -67.1% | 43.1% | 72 | 33.7% |
| 6 | Supertrend (10,2) ✓ | Daily | 25.5% | 0.64 | -67.1% | 43.1% | 72 | 33.7% |
| 7 | Sine-Weighted MA ✓ | Daily | 24.0% | 0.63 | -61.9% | 33.5% | 155 | 32.3% |
| 8 | Bollinger %B ✓ | Daily | 23.9% | 0.63 | -59.4% | 35.4% | 161 | 32.2% |
| 9 | Sine-Weighted MA ✓ | Daily | 24.0% | 0.63 | -61.9% | 33.5% | 155 | 32.3% |
| 10 | Triangular MA ✓ | Daily | 22.9% | 0.62 | -61.0% | 33.8% | 157 | 31.1% |
| 11 | Parabolic SAR (fast) ✓ | Daily | 23.6% | 0.62 | -73.3% | 35.8% | 187 | 31.9% |
| 12 | ALMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 23.2% | 0.62 | -65.7% | 37.3% | 169 | 31.4% |
| 13 | Ultimate Osc (4,8,16) ✓ | Weekly | 25.3% | 0.62 | -58.6% | 34.8% | 46 | 44.4% |
| 14 | Half Trend ✓ | Daily | 22.9% | 0.62 | -65.6% | 32.9% | 82 | 31.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Bitcoin Cash (BCH), HalfTrend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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