The best indicator for ARK Innovation (ARKK)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real ARK Innovation (ARKK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Supertrend Fast (10,2)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for ARK Innovation (ARKK) over ~11.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 7.2% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for ARK Innovation (ARKK) — beating buy-and-hold by 5.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 19.9% | 0.89 | -26.1% | 60.0% | 15 | 7.2% |
| 2 | Supertrend (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 19.9% | 0.89 | -26.1% | 60.0% | 15 | 7.2% |
| 3 | Relative Volatility Index ✓ | Daily | 20.0% | 0.84 | -40.9% | 47.7% | 174 | 7.1% |
| 4 | Supertrend (7,2) ✓ | Weekly | 18.1% | 0.84 | -26.1% | 56.2% | 16 | 5.4% |
| 5 | On-Balance Volume ✓ | Daily | 19.2% | 0.83 | -44.7% | 46.2% | 173 | 6.4% |
| 6 | DEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 16.9% | 0.82 | -30.9% | 40.8% | 49 | 4.0% |
| 7 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Daily | 18.2% | 0.81 | -49.2% | 47.1% | 51 | 5.4% |
| 8 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | Weekly | 17.0% | 0.79 | -36.7% | 55.6% | 18 | 4.2% |
| 9 | CCI (50) ✓ | Daily | 16.8% | 0.77 | -46.4% | 36.7% | 79 | 4.0% |
| 10 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Daily | 17.1% | 0.76 | -45.0% | 48.5% | 66 | 4.3% |
| 11 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | Daily | 17.2% | 0.76 | -50.5% | 42.6% | 54 | 4.3% |
| 12 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Daily | 16.8% | 0.75 | -50.3% | 50.8% | 61 | 4.0% |
| 13 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 16.8% | 0.75 | -39.6% | 41.9% | 43 | 3.9% |
| 14 | Keltner 50 (x2.0) ✓ | Weekly | 13.0% | 0.75 | -29.4% | 50.0% | 20 | 0.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For ARK Innovation (ARKK), Supertrend Fast (10,2) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More etf
Get alerted when ARK Innovation’s signal flips
We track ARK Innovation daily. Its backtested best indicator, Supertrend Fast (10,2) (Weekly), is long right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.