The best indicator for ARK Innovation (ARKK)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real ARK Innovation (ARKK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Supertrend Fast (10,2)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for ARK Innovation (ARKK) over ~11.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 7.2% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for ARK Innovation (ARKK) — beating buy-and-hold by 5.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 19.9% | 0.89 | -26.1% | 60.0% | 15 | 7.2% |
| 2 | Supertrend (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 19.9% | 0.89 | -26.1% | 60.0% | 15 | 7.2% |
| 3 | Relative Volatility Index ✓ | Daily | 20.0% | 0.84 | -40.9% | 47.7% | 174 | 7.1% |
| 4 | Supertrend (7,2) ✓ | Weekly | 18.1% | 0.84 | -26.1% | 56.2% | 16 | 5.4% |
| 5 | On-Balance Volume ✓ | Daily | 19.2% | 0.83 | -44.7% | 46.2% | 173 | 6.4% |
| 6 | DEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 16.9% | 0.82 | -30.9% | 40.8% | 49 | 4.0% |
| 7 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Daily | 18.2% | 0.81 | -49.2% | 47.1% | 51 | 5.4% |
| 8 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | Weekly | 17.0% | 0.79 | -36.7% | 55.6% | 18 | 4.2% |
| 9 | CCI (50) ✓ | Daily | 16.8% | 0.77 | -46.4% | 36.7% | 79 | 4.0% |
| 10 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Daily | 17.1% | 0.76 | -45.0% | 48.5% | 66 | 4.3% |
| 11 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | Daily | 17.2% | 0.76 | -50.5% | 42.6% | 54 | 4.3% |
| 12 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Daily | 16.8% | 0.75 | -50.3% | 50.8% | 61 | 4.0% |
| 13 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 16.8% | 0.75 | -39.6% | 41.9% | 43 | 3.9% |
| 14 | Keltner 50 (x2.0) ✓ | Weekly | 13.0% | 0.75 | -29.4% | 50.0% | 20 | 0.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For ARK Innovation (ARKK), Supertrend Fast (10,2) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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