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The best indicator for Cardano (ADA)

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Cardano (ADA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.

Signaling FLAT right now — Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) (Daily) is out of the market. Signal computed on 2026-10-23, 3 days behind the price data on this page (it is rebuilt on a separate schedule).
Live screener
Key levels · as of 2026-10-26

Where Cardano (ADA) stands

0.2016
last daily close (2026-10-26)
0.2109
200-day simple moving average price 4.4% below
0.2306
50-day simple moving average price 12.5% below
0.1434–0.2967
52-week range

Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.

Oscillator · Daily

Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power)

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Cardano (ADA) over ~12.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 62.0% CAGR.

79.2%
CAGR
1.08
Sharpe
-54.5%
Max DD
39.9%
Win rate
6.27
Profit factor
+62.0%
vs Buy&Hold
Chart

Cardano (ADA) on the daily chart

The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.

Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.

NOTHING BEAT BUY-AND-HOLD
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

EMA 20/50 CrossWaddah Attar Explosion

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Cardano (ADA) — beating buy-and-hold by 8.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

22.8%
CAGR
0.83
Sharpe
56.2%
Win rate
73
Trades
+8.6%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power)
+62.0% · Sharpe 1.08
Weekly
ALMA 30 Trend
+21.7% · Sharpe 0.91
4-Hour
Predictive Ranges
+21.2% · Sharpe 0.73
1-Hour
Markov Regime (Confirmed)
+12.3% · Sharpe 0.59
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) ✓Daily79.2%1.08-54.5%39.9%18862.0%
2Regularized EMA ✓Daily76.1%1.04-79.4%39.5%18558.8%
3Adaptive Supertrend ✓Daily72.9%1.01-76.9%31.7%8255.7%
4TRIMA 30 Trend ✓Daily57.9%1.0-62.1%41.6%7740.7%
5MAMA / FAMADaily70.9%0.99-75.9%40.0%5553.6%
6Williams %R (21)Daily59.9%0.99-84.4%36.2%14942.7%
7Chop Zone (EMA-34 angle) ✓Daily47.5%0.99-48.9%42.0%5030.3%
8Geometric MA ✓Daily57.5%0.98-78.0%40.7%13540.3%
9KAMA 30 Trend ✓Daily68.2%0.98-71.0%40.8%12551.0%
10Elder Bull Power ✓Daily67.4%0.97-77.7%38.8%23750.2%
11PMax ✓Daily66.2%0.96-75.2%47.1%1749.0%
12Stochastic Fast (5,3) ✓Daily67.3%0.96-75.9%45.8%41750.1%
13Heikin-Ashi + EMA ✓Daily56.1%0.96-71.8%34.4%13138.9%
14FRAMA 200 Trend ✓Daily47.9%0.96-62.1%44.2%28530.7%

✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What leverage would it take to beat buy & hold?

The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Cardano (ADA) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 1157 of 1157 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that

What this means

For Cardano (ADA), Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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