The best indicator for Growth
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Growth history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Growth stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
RSI Trend (>50)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Growth over ~22.8 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.4% CAGR.
Growth on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.88 | -19.8% | 65.9% | 44 | -1.4% |
| 2 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.87 | -27.9% | 67.6% | 37 | -1.1% |
| 3 | EMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.86 | -19.8% | 64.3% | 42 | -1.5% |
| 4 | Trend Regularity Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.85 | -20.4% | 67.6% | 34 | -1.6% |
| 5 | Trade Volume Index ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.83 | -22.9% | 64.0% | 25 | -2.6% |
| 6 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.82 | -21.0% | 66.7% | 21 | -2.2% |
| 7 | Disparity (20) ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.82 | -19.8% | 64.4% | 59 | -2.4% |
| 8 | SMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.82 | -17.3% | 75.7% | 37 | -2.6% |
| 9 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Daily | 8.9% | 0.81 | -19.8% | 63.8% | 58 | -3.4% |
| 10 | ROC (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.81 | -21.0% | 77.8% | 27 | -2.1% |
| 11 | CMO (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.81 | -21.0% | 77.8% | 27 | -2.1% |
| 12 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.81 | -21.0% | 77.8% | 27 | -2.1% |
| 13 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.81 | -22.1% | 51.6% | 31 | -1.8% |
| 14 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.8 | -20.1% | 63.6% | 55 | -2.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Growth
3 of 585 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Growth outright. Another 450 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 95 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coppock (fast) | 1 | 1.57× | 3.97× |
| Volume-Weighted EMA | 1 | 1.65× | 5.13× |
| SMA 5/20 Cross | 1 | none needed | 4.31× |
| Geometric MA | — | 1.2× | 5.54× |
| Elastic VW MA | — | 1.22× | 3.41× |
| Disparity (20) | — | 1.24× | 4.81× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Growth, RSI Trend (>50) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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