The best indicator for Real Estate (VNQ)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Real Estate (VNQ) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Connors RSI
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Real Estate (VNQ) over ~21.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.2% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Real Estate (VNQ) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connors RSI ✓ | Daily | 8.8% | 0.57 | -34.2% | 66.7% | 249 | 1.2% |
| 2 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.52 | -42.9% | 52.5% | 406 | 0.5% |
| 3 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 6.2% | 0.5 | -20.3% | 78.4% | 37 | -1.3% |
| 4 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Weekly | 5.5% | 0.45 | -24.9% | 62.5% | 32 | -1.9% |
| 5 | SMA 10/30 Cross | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.43 | -42.4% | 61.1% | 18 | -1.6% |
| 6 | Even Better Sinewave | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.43 | -39.6% | 69.6% | 23 | -1.5% |
| 7 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.42 | -42.4% | 64.7% | 17 | -1.5% |
| 8 | Know Sure Thing ✓ | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.41 | -41.8% | 62.5% | 32 | -2.1% |
| 9 | Coppock Curve ✓ | Weekly | 5.3% | 0.41 | -37.3% | 51.9% | 27 | -2.1% |
| 10 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | Weekly | 4.7% | 0.4 | -28.4% | 73.3% | 15 | -2.8% |
| 11 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.4 | -39.6% | 73.9% | 23 | -1.5% |
| 12 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 6.1% | 0.39 | -56.4% | 66.0% | 106 | -1.5% |
| 13 | Linear Regression Slope ✓ | Weekly | 4.9% | 0.39 | -34.1% | 55.6% | 27 | -2.5% |
| 14 | Ease of Movement | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.39 | -35.0% | 61.1% | 54 | -2.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Real Estate (VNQ), Connors RSI on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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