The best indicator for Dividend Growth (VIG)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dividend Growth (VIG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Dividend Growth (VIG) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Williams %R (50)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dividend Growth (VIG) over ~20.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.9% CAGR.
Dividend Growth (VIG) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dividend Growth (VIG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams %R (50) ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.74 | -19.0% | 70.0% | 20 | -1.9% |
| 2 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.73 | -19.7% | 63.9% | 36 | -2.7% |
| 3 | EMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.73 | -22.7% | 62.2% | 37 | -2.7% |
| 4 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.73 | -37.1% | 56.4% | 55 | -0.1% |
| 5 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.72 | -20.7% | 56.0% | 50 | -2.7% |
| 6 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.72 | -15.7% | 54.8% | 93 | -3.2% |
| 7 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.72 | -17.8% | 68.8% | 16 | -2.5% |
| 8 | EMA Cascade Rider ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.72 | -19.7% | 66.7% | 15 | -2.6% |
| 9 | McGinley 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.71 | -20.3% | 51.4% | 35 | -2.7% |
| 10 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.71 | -17.8% | 77.3% | 22 | -2.7% |
| 11 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | Weekly | 6.8% | 0.71 | -16.4% | 65.6% | 32 | -3.0% |
| 12 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Weekly | 7.7% | 0.71 | -21.4% | 61.1% | 36 | -2.2% |
| 13 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.7 | -31.3% | 52.9% | 34 | -1.0% |
| 14 | Hull MA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 5.6% | 0.7 | -14.3% | 68.0% | 25 | -4.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Dividend Growth (VIG)
0 of 591 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Dividend Growth (VIG) outright. Another 453 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 72 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sine-Weighted MA | — | 2.12× | 5.64× |
| QQE | — | 1.55× | 5.94× |
| T3 100 Trend | — | 1.57× | 7.04× |
| CMO (21) | — | 1.61× | 7.59× |
| CCI (30) | — | 1.61× | 6.45× |
| WMA 30 Trend | — | 1.62× | 7.17× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Dividend Growth (VIG), Williams %R (50) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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