The best indicator for Financials (VFH)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Financials (VFH) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA 8/21 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Financials (VFH) over ~22.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.2% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Financials (VFH) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 8/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.7% | 0.59 | -25.4% | 62.5% | 16 | 1.2% |
| 2 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.59 | -25.7% | 66.7% | 15 | 0.7% |
| 3 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.59 | -26.9% | 47.6% | 21 | 0.9% |
| 4 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.58 | -22.6% | 63.6% | 22 | 0.9% |
| 5 | Hull Suite ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.58 | -26.7% | 59.1% | 22 | 0.9% |
| 6 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.58 | -29.6% | 50.0% | 18 | 1.0% |
| 7 | TSI (13,7) ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.57 | -28.2% | 53.1% | 32 | 1.0% |
| 8 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.3% | 0.56 | -37.1% | 54.0% | 50 | -0.2% |
| 9 | EMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.2% | 0.56 | -33.0% | 50.0% | 34 | 0.6% |
| 10 | Awesome Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 6.9% | 0.54 | -39.2% | 61.1% | 18 | 0.4% |
| 11 | Relative Volatility Index ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.54 | -40.2% | 53.1% | 64 | 1.0% |
| 12 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.54 | -29.8% | 60.9% | 23 | 1.7% |
| 13 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.53 | -27.9% | 71.4% | 21 | 0.1% |
| 14 | DEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 5.5% | 0.53 | -19.5% | 44.4% | 18 | -1.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Financials (VFH), EMA 8/21 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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