The best indicator for USX (USX)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real USX (USX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Lorentzian Classification
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for USX (USX) over ~1.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 67.3% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for USX (USX) — beating buy-and-hold by 6.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorentzian Classification ✓ | Daily | 68.2% | 2.98 | -6.8% | 53.5% | 43 | 67.3% |
| 2 | VWAP Bands ✓ | Daily | 28.2% | 1.62 | -9.3% | 64.3% | 14 | 27.3% |
| 3 | Demand Index ✓ | Daily | 275.0% | 1.25 | -6.6% | 50.0% | 22 | 274.1% |
| 4 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Daily | 108.1% | 0.98 | -69.8% | 51.0% | 51 | 107.2% |
| 5 | DeMarker (7) ✓ | Daily | 131.8% | 0.97 | -50.3% | 55.2% | 29 | 130.9% |
| 6 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Daily | 87.8% | 0.92 | -64.9% | 50.7% | 73 | 86.9% |
| 7 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Daily | 80.0% | 0.89 | -69.8% | 51.4% | 35 | 79.1% |
| 8 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 135.5% | 0.95 | -32.4% | 64.3% | 14 | 134.6% |
| 9 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Daily | 13.1% | 0.84 | -6.7% | 35.3% | 17 | 12.2% |
| 10 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 25.6% | 1.57 | -9.3% | 75.0% | 8 | 24.7% |
| 11 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Daily | 25.6% | 1.57 | -9.3% | 75.0% | 8 | 24.7% |
| 12 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Daily | 211.6% | 1.13 | -30.3% | 81.8% | 11 | 210.7% |
| 13 | Laguerre RSI ✓ | Daily | 116.0% | 0.9 | -29.8% | 38.5% | 13 | 115.1% |
| 14 | Bandpass Oscillator | Daily | 78.6% | 0.78 | -39.5% | 43.5% | 23 | 77.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For USX (USX), Lorentzian Classification on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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