The best indicator for USX (USX)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real USX (USX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
USX (USX) stopped updating on 2022-10-09
Our price source has returned nothing for USX-USD in 1,434 days. That usually means the ticker was delisted or renamed — several assets on this page type have been, and the old symbol simply stops. We are not showing key levels, because the last close we hold (1.0033, 2022-10-09) is not a current price and should not be read as one.
The backtest results below are unaffected — they describe the history that does exist, and they are what this page is for.
Lorentzian Classification
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for USX (USX) over ~1.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 67.3% CAGR.
USX (USX) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for USX (USX) — beating buy-and-hold by 6.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorentzian Classification ✓ | Daily | 68.2% | 2.98 | -6.8% | 53.5% | 43 | 67.3% |
| 2 | VWAP Bands ✓ | Daily | 28.2% | 1.62 | -9.3% | 64.3% | 14 | 27.3% |
| 3 | Demand Index ✓ | Daily | 275.0% | 1.25 | -6.6% | 50.0% | 22 | 274.1% |
| 4 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Daily | 108.1% | 0.98 | -69.8% | 51.0% | 51 | 107.2% |
| 5 | DeMarker (7) ✓ | Daily | 131.8% | 0.97 | -50.3% | 55.2% | 29 | 130.9% |
| 6 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Daily | 87.8% | 0.92 | -64.9% | 50.7% | 73 | 86.9% |
| 7 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Daily | 80.0% | 0.89 | -69.8% | 51.4% | 35 | 79.1% |
| 8 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 135.5% | 0.95 | -32.4% | 64.3% | 14 | 134.6% |
| 9 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Daily | 13.1% | 0.84 | -6.7% | 35.3% | 17 | 12.2% |
| 10 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 25.6% | 1.57 | -9.3% | 75.0% | 8 | 24.7% |
| 11 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Daily | 25.6% | 1.57 | -9.3% | 75.0% | 8 | 24.7% |
| 12 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Daily | 211.6% | 1.13 | -30.3% | 81.8% | 11 | 210.7% |
| 13 | Laguerre RSI ✓ | Daily | 116.0% | 0.9 | -29.8% | 38.5% | 13 | 115.1% |
| 14 | Bandpass Oscillator | Daily | 78.6% | 0.78 | -39.5% | 43.5% | 23 | 77.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on USX (USX)
5 of 208 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on USX (USX) outright. Another 0 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 1 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Williams Alligator | 1 | none needed | 37.04× |
| Gator Oscillator | 1 | none needed | 38.46× |
| Camarilla Pivots | 1 | none needed | 66.67× |
| Fibonacci Pivots | 1 | none needed | 90.91× |
| Lorentzian Classification | 1 | none needed | 38.46× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For USX (USX), Lorentzian Classification on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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