The best indicator for Uranium (URA)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Uranium (URA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Uranium (URA) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Perfect Trend Line
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Uranium (URA) over ~15.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 17.2% CAGR.
Uranium (URA) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Uranium (URA) — beating buy-and-hold by 3.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perfect Trend Line ✓ | Daily | 14.7% | 0.66 | -38.1% | 38.8% | 417 | 17.2% |
| 2 | Ehlers SuperSmoother ✓ | Daily | 13.2% | 0.62 | -47.2% | 39.0% | 505 | 15.7% |
| 3 | Rainbow MA ✓ | Daily | 12.7% | 0.6 | -46.0% | 37.6% | 417 | 15.2% |
| 4 | Holt Double-Exp MA ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.59 | -33.4% | 38.3% | 324 | 13.4% |
| 5 | Derivative Oscillator | Daily | 9.4% | 0.58 | -32.5% | 41.2% | 245 | 11.8% |
| 6 | Disparity (5) ✓ | Daily | 12.2% | 0.58 | -46.5% | 40.3% | 462 | 14.7% |
| 7 | TEMA 30 Trend | Daily | 10.2% | 0.55 | -44.3% | 36.1% | 285 | 12.6% |
| 8 | FRAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.9% | 0.55 | -27.6% | 39.0% | 351 | 13.3% |
| 9 | FRAMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.8% | 0.55 | -47.6% | 37.3% | 271 | 13.2% |
| 10 | Force Index ✓ | Daily | 11.1% | 0.54 | -51.2% | 39.1% | 184 | 13.5% |
| 11 | T3 (Tillson) ✓ | Daily | 10.9% | 0.54 | -44.6% | 33.6% | 256 | 13.4% |
| 12 | Woodies CCI ✓ | Daily | 10.0% | 0.54 | -32.8% | 42.3% | 286 | 12.4% |
| 13 | Disparity Index ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.53 | -42.6% | 33.1% | 239 | 13.1% |
| 14 | B-Xtrender | Daily | 8.9% | 0.53 | -30.6% | 40.6% | 342 | 11.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Uranium (URA)
15 of 607 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Uranium (URA) outright. Another 118 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 253 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 2.36× |
| Demand Index | 1 | 1.18× | 3.84× |
| QQE | 1 | 2.13× | 2.44× |
| Stochastic | 1 | none needed | 3.79× |
| DeMarker | 1 | none needed | 4.27× |
| Chaikin Oscillator | 1 | none needed | 2.86× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Uranium (URA), Perfect Trend Line on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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