The best indicator for Uniswap (UNI)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Uniswap (UNI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Connors RSI-2
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Uniswap (UNI) over ~8.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 994.5% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Uniswap (UNI) — trailing buy-and-hold by 39.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Daily | 956.2% | 1.49 | -90.7% | 65.3% | 101 | 994.5% |
| 2 | VWAP Bands ✓ | Daily | 80.1% | 1.19 | -100.0% | 68.3% | 41 | 118.4% |
| 3 | Lorentzian Classification | Daily | 223.5% | 1.13 | -89.2% | 46.8% | 284 | 261.7% |
| 4 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Daily | -92.9% | 0.98 | -100.0% | 29.2% | 65 | -54.7% |
| 5 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 144.1% | 0.98 | -92.6% | 60.9% | 46 | 197.4% |
| 6 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 141.3% | 0.97 | -92.3% | 49.4% | 85 | 179.5% |
| 7 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Daily | 5.9% | 0.95 | -99.6% | 53.4% | 58 | 44.2% |
| 8 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 95.0% | 0.94 | -92.4% | 49.2% | 61 | 148.2% |
| 9 | PMax ✓ | Daily | -87.1% | 0.89 | -100.0% | 31.2% | 16 | -48.8% |
| 10 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Daily | -32.5% | 0.88 | -98.9% | 44.4% | 18 | 5.7% |
| 11 | Nadaraya-Watson Envelope ✓ | Daily | 117.3% | 0.87 | -53.8% | 53.3% | 15 | 155.5% |
| 12 | Ehlers Stochastic ✓ | Daily | -77.7% | 0.87 | -100.0% | 36.0% | 50 | -39.4% |
| 13 | SMC: Break of Structure ✓ | Daily | -82.9% | 0.86 | -100.0% | 31.8% | 22 | -44.6% |
| 14 | Chaikin Money Flow ✓ | Daily | -59.4% | 0.85 | -100.0% | 40.0% | 85 | -21.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Uniswap (UNI), Connors RSI-2 on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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