The best indicator for 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
QQE
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) over ~16.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 8.1% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) — trailing buy-and-hold by 17.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 51.2% | 1.05 | -69.5% | 62.8% | 43 | 8.1% |
| 2 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Weekly | 37.3% | 0.95 | -52.8% | 53.3% | 15 | -5.7% |
| 3 | CMO (21) ✓ | Daily | 29.6% | 0.9 | -66.2% | 50.6% | 166 | -13.8% |
| 4 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Daily | 28.0% | 0.9 | -50.4% | 58.3% | 156 | -15.4% |
| 5 | Net Volume ✓ | Daily | 30.4% | 0.89 | -45.3% | 56.0% | 191 | -13.0% |
| 6 | Accumulation/Distribution ✓ | Weekly | 34.7% | 0.89 | -64.7% | 51.4% | 37 | -8.3% |
| 7 | Liquidity Flow Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 30.4% | 0.89 | -45.3% | 56.0% | 191 | -13.0% |
| 8 | Bollinger %B ✓ | Daily | 28.6% | 0.88 | -48.7% | 45.0% | 222 | -14.9% |
| 9 | DEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 26.0% | 0.88 | -50.4% | 48.7% | 298 | -17.4% |
| 10 | Chaikin Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 32.8% | 0.87 | -60.2% | 56.1% | 41 | -10.3% |
| 11 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Weekly | 31.1% | 0.87 | -54.8% | 62.1% | 29 | -12.0% |
| 12 | A/D Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 32.8% | 0.87 | -60.2% | 56.1% | 41 | -10.3% |
| 13 | FRAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 26.2% | 0.87 | -64.5% | 55.4% | 83 | -16.9% |
| 14 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 30.1% | 0.86 | -67.2% | 63.1% | 65 | -13.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ), QQE on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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