The best indicator for TIPS (TIP)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real TIPS (TIP) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
KAMA 100 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for TIPS (TIP) over ~22.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for TIPS (TIP) — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 2.7% | 0.59 | -11.0% | 47.8% | 23 | -0.8% |
| 2 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 2.5% | 0.56 | -7.6% | 60.9% | 23 | -1.0% |
| 3 | TRIX (9) ✓ | Weekly | 2.5% | 0.55 | -7.9% | 52.4% | 21 | -1.0% |
| 4 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | Weekly | 2.3% | 0.52 | -15.4% | 39.3% | 28 | -1.2% |
| 5 | Linear Regression Slope ✓ | Weekly | 2.4% | 0.52 | -9.2% | 51.9% | 27 | -1.2% |
| 6 | Correlation Trend ✓ | Weekly | 2.4% | 0.52 | -9.2% | 51.9% | 27 | -1.2% |
| 7 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 2.1% | 0.52 | -6.9% | 60.0% | 25 | -1.4% |
| 8 | RSI (25) ✓ | Weekly | 2.4% | 0.52 | -12.1% | 45.9% | 37 | -1.1% |
| 9 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 1.5% | 0.51 | -5.3% | 90.0% | 30 | -2.0% |
| 10 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 2.4% | 0.51 | -12.1% | 64.7% | 17 | -1.1% |
| 11 | Awesome Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 2.2% | 0.51 | -9.1% | 45.5% | 22 | -1.3% |
| 12 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Weekly | 2.7% | 0.51 | -16.9% | 46.2% | 52 | -0.8% |
| 13 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Weekly | 1.9% | 0.51 | -5.9% | 60.0% | 20 | -1.6% |
| 14 | Trend Regularity Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 2.3% | 0.51 | -13.3% | 50.0% | 22 | -1.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For TIPS (TIP), KAMA 100 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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