The best indicator for Short VIX (SVXY)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Short VIX (SVXY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
FRAMA 30 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Short VIX (SVXY) over ~14.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 9.6% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Short VIX (SVXY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.9% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FRAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 20.6% | 0.85 | -38.0% | 62.9% | 62 | 9.6% |
| 2 | True Strength Index ✓ | Daily | 20.7% | 0.79 | -36.1% | 43.6% | 140 | 8.9% |
| 3 | Hull MA Trend ✓ | Daily | 20.1% | 0.74 | -39.8% | 51.9% | 183 | 8.3% |
| 4 | Hull MA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 19.3% | 0.74 | -38.3% | 50.0% | 172 | 7.5% |
| 5 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 18.4% | 0.73 | -38.7% | 50.0% | 142 | 6.7% |
| 6 | MACD-V ✓ | Daily | 17.9% | 0.72 | -37.5% | 49.3% | 136 | 6.1% |
| 7 | Schaff Trend Cycle ✓ | Weekly | 4.5% | 0.72 | -8.8% | 64.7% | 17 | -6.4% |
| 8 | Waddah Attar Explosion ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.71 | -29.7% | 66.7% | 36 | -1.1% |
| 9 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 16.1% | 0.69 | -40.2% | 50.6% | 83 | 4.4% |
| 10 | Perfect Trend Line ✓ | Weekly | 18.1% | 0.69 | -56.3% | 50.0% | 70 | 7.1% |
| 11 | Cascade Z-Score ✓ | Daily | 15.7% | 0.69 | -35.2% | 47.0% | 117 | 3.9% |
| 12 | Inverse Fisher RSI ✓ | Daily | 17.9% | 0.67 | -38.0% | 45.1% | 113 | 6.1% |
| 13 | RSI (7) ✓ | Weekly | 17.7% | 0.67 | -52.3% | 54.7% | 53 | 6.8% |
| 14 | Predictive Ranges | Weekly | 17.6% | 0.67 | -44.1% | 52.2% | 23 | 6.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Short VIX (SVXY), FRAMA 30 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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