The best indicator for Dividend (SCHD)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dividend (SCHD) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
QQE
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dividend (SCHD) over ~14.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.3% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Dividend (SCHD) — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.94 | -21.7% | 60.0% | 40 | -0.3% |
| 2 | Predictive Ranges ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.91 | -20.5% | 56.7% | 30 | -3.1% |
| 3 | Supertrend (7,2) ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.86 | -13.6% | 70.0% | 20 | -4.5% |
| 4 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.85 | -18.7% | 65.0% | 20 | -4.5% |
| 5 | Supertrend (10,2) ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.85 | -18.7% | 65.0% | 20 | -4.5% |
| 6 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.6% | 0.84 | -18.2% | 50.0% | 36 | -4.7% |
| 7 | Ichimoku (fast) ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.84 | -17.3% | 51.9% | 156 | -5.6% |
| 8 | Hull MA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.83 | -18.1% | 49.6% | 117 | -6.0% |
| 9 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.82 | -16.2% | 58.1% | 62 | -6.6% |
| 10 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.0% | 0.82 | -17.0% | 51.2% | 80 | -6.2% |
| 11 | Zero-Lag LSMA ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.82 | -17.3% | 62.3% | 53 | -5.8% |
| 12 | QQE ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.81 | -30.7% | 49.1% | 212 | -1.8% |
| 13 | Ehlers Reflex ✓ | Daily | 7.2% | 0.81 | -20.3% | 62.7% | 126 | -6.0% |
| 14 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.81 | -15.6% | 59.4% | 32 | -5.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Dividend (SCHD), QQE on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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