The best indicator for Wide Moat (MOAT)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Wide Moat (MOAT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Chande Kroll Stop
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Wide Moat (MOAT) over ~14.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.0% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Wide Moat (MOAT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Weekly | 12.3% | 0.84 | -27.3% | 59.3% | 27 | -1.0% |
| 2 | Geometric MA ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.8 | -10.3% | 48.3% | 180 | -5.6% |
| 3 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Daily | 8.4% | 0.79 | -15.8% | 57.5% | 73 | -5.2% |
| 4 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.2% | 0.77 | -26.3% | 38.2% | 34 | -3.3% |
| 5 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.76 | -22.5% | 59.5% | 37 | -4.9% |
| 6 | EMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.76 | -23.6% | 47.6% | 21 | -4.8% |
| 7 | Inverse Fisher RSI ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.76 | -23.3% | 66.7% | 21 | -4.3% |
| 8 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.75 | -24.6% | 51.1% | 139 | -4.6% |
| 9 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 9.9% | 0.75 | -33.3% | 62.5% | 24 | -3.6% |
| 10 | ROC (20) ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.75 | -15.9% | 46.4% | 138 | -5.4% |
| 11 | Momentum (20) ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.75 | -15.9% | 46.4% | 138 | -5.4% |
| 12 | Chaikin Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.75 | -23.3% | 63.3% | 30 | -3.9% |
| 13 | A/D Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.75 | -23.3% | 63.3% | 30 | -3.9% |
| 14 | QQE ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.74 | -31.0% | 48.4% | 213 | -2.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Wide Moat (MOAT), Chande Kroll Stop on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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