The best indicator for Wide Moat (MOAT)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Wide Moat (MOAT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Wide Moat (MOAT) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Chande Kroll Stop
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Wide Moat (MOAT) over ~14.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.0% CAGR.
Wide Moat (MOAT) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Wide Moat (MOAT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Weekly | 12.3% | 0.84 | -27.3% | 59.3% | 27 | -1.0% |
| 2 | Geometric MA ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.8 | -10.3% | 48.3% | 180 | -5.6% |
| 3 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Daily | 8.4% | 0.79 | -15.8% | 57.5% | 73 | -5.2% |
| 4 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.2% | 0.77 | -26.3% | 38.2% | 34 | -3.3% |
| 5 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.76 | -22.5% | 59.5% | 37 | -4.9% |
| 6 | EMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.7% | 0.76 | -23.6% | 47.6% | 21 | -4.8% |
| 7 | Inverse Fisher RSI ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.76 | -23.3% | 66.7% | 21 | -4.3% |
| 8 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.75 | -24.6% | 51.1% | 139 | -4.6% |
| 9 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 9.9% | 0.75 | -33.3% | 62.5% | 24 | -3.6% |
| 10 | ROC (20) ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.75 | -15.9% | 46.4% | 138 | -5.4% |
| 11 | Momentum (20) ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.75 | -15.9% | 46.4% | 138 | -5.4% |
| 12 | Chaikin Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.75 | -23.3% | 63.3% | 30 | -3.9% |
| 13 | A/D Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.75 | -23.3% | 63.3% | 30 | -3.9% |
| 14 | QQE ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.74 | -31.0% | 48.4% | 213 | -2.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Wide Moat (MOAT)
2 of 528 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Wide Moat (MOAT) outright. Another 299 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 84 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chande Kroll Stop | 1 | 2.63× | 5.05× |
| Donchian 10 Break | 1 | none needed | 9.35× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 3.51× | 6.25× |
| QQE | — | 1.29× | 4.68× |
| TEMA 10/30 Cross | — | 1.6× | 6.75× |
| Rate of Change | — | 2.04× | 5.4× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Wide Moat (MOAT), Chande Kroll Stop on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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