The best indicator for Tezos
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Tezos history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Jurik MA (approx.)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Tezos over ~8.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 58.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jurik MA (approx.) ✓ | Weekly | 38.4% | 0.68 | -75.0% | 31.2% | 32 | 58.5% |
| 2 | Impulse MACD ✓ | Daily | 25.3% | 0.66 | -76.2% | 46.5% | 99 | 40.7% |
| 3 | Andean Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 25.5% | 0.65 | -76.6% | 47.6% | 42 | 40.9% |
| 4 | Deviation-Scaled MA ✓ | Weekly | 30.6% | 0.65 | -80.9% | 43.8% | 32 | 50.7% |
| 5 | Median MA ✓ | Daily | 24.2% | 0.64 | -73.4% | 36.0% | 172 | 39.6% |
| 6 | Holt Double-Exp MA ✓ | Weekly | 28.6% | 0.61 | -76.4% | 35.1% | 37 | 48.7% |
| 7 | Woodie Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 25.6% | 0.61 | -78.5% | 35.1% | 94 | 45.7% |
| 8 | Momentum | Daily | 20.8% | 0.6 | -87.1% | 39.6% | 225 | 36.2% |
| 9 | ROC (10) | Daily | 20.8% | 0.6 | -87.1% | 39.6% | 225 | 36.2% |
| 10 | Momentum (10) | Daily | 20.8% | 0.6 | -87.1% | 39.6% | 225 | 36.2% |
| 11 | EMA 9/26 Cross ✓ | Daily | 20.2% | 0.59 | -83.8% | 42.6% | 54 | 35.6% |
| 12 | Relative Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 19.3% | 0.58 | -80.4% | 34.5% | 55 | 34.7% |
| 13 | Ultimate Osc (4,8,16) ✓ | Weekly | 20.7% | 0.58 | -64.5% | 41.7% | 36 | 40.8% |
| 14 | Chande Momentum Osc. ✓ | Daily | 18.6% | 0.57 | -81.4% | 43.2% | 236 | 34.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Tezos, Jurik MA (approx.) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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